
Volume
$88K
Txns
354
Traders
83
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 15, 2025
If any SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad between January 1, 2025, and January 15, 2025, 11:59 PM CST, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | thrall21 | No / 99.9¢ | -54.79 | $54.7 | |
| 1y | longtern | No / 99.9¢ | +54.79 | $54.7 | |
| 1y | HEK-579 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,340.00 | $2.34 | |
| 1y | longtern | No / 99.9¢ | +2,287.60 | $2.29K | |
| 1y | EventForecaster | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1y | botmeshe | No / 99.9¢ | +42.40 | $42.4 | |
| 1y | Emptiness. | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | FoldingNuts272 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | 0x9287BD3d7f9cc43198c98974cBbdfA1C48fe41f2-1726091451385 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | 0x242E686A8aA56a505A58C70cF750aa7a33F3eE63-1730863207106 | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1y | tf2 | No / 99.7¢ | +303.81 | $303 | |
| 1y | Elon-Musk-69420 | No / 99.7¢ | -303.81 | $303 | |
| 1y | Jack51e72 | No / 99.8¢ | -196.37 | $196 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.2¢ | -96.37 | $0.19 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.2¢ | -100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | Frosen | Yes / 0.1¢ | -2,499.98 | $2.5 | |
| 1y | polokrat | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,666.65 | $3 | |
| 1y | tf2 | No / 99.7¢ | +166.67 | $166 | |
| 1y | Slowroasted | No / 99.9¢ | +4,000.00 | $4K | |
| 1y | billieWonka | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4,000.00 | $4 | |
| 1y | Slowroasted | No / 99.8¢ | +13.51 | $13.5 | |
| 1y | Gambus | No / 99.8¢ | -13.51 | $13.5 | |
| 1y | secondpoorest | No / 99.9¢ | +92.77 | $92.7 | |
| 1y | SomeUsername | Yes / 0.1¢ | +92.77 | $0.09 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 |
1–25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 89%$39.1Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$4.86Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 95%$1.38Mvolume
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Yes 100%$33.7Kvolume
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
No 100%$212Kvolume
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
No 100%$114Kvolume