
Volume
$167K
Txns
2,628
Traders
616
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 15, 2025
If any SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad between January 1, 2025, and January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM CST, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 86%$37.6Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$4.82Mvolume
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?
Yes 100%$49.7Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 95%$1.36Mvolume
New pandemic in 2026?
No 90%$652Kvolume
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?
No 100%$57.4Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | pirateshere | No / 99.9¢ | +1,668.37 | $1.67K | |
| 1y | pirateshere | No / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 1y | Nanan | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,331.63 | $1.33 | |
| 1y | Ethil | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -701.37 | $0.7 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | No / 99.9¢ | +4,298.63 | $4.29K | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | No / 99.9¢ | +1.04 | $1.04 | |
| 1y | jfasjhgdhj | No / 99.9¢ | -1.04 | $1.04 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | No / 99.9¢ | +1.05 | $1.05 | |
| 1y | jhfjkdshkjfh | No / 99.9¢ | -1.05 | $1.05 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1y | stephaniewalsh | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | losingmoneyxd | No / 99.9¢ | -600.00 | $599 | |
| 1y | d1k21 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -345.72 | $0.35 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | No / 99.9¢ | +254.28 | $254 | |
| 1y | d1k21 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -654.28 | $0.65 | |
| 1y | pirateshere | No / 99.9¢ | -654.28 | $654 | |
| 1y | Chebarkul | No / 99.9¢ | -9.00 | $8.99 | |
| 1y | pbryan | No / 99.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 1y | aprilgarcia | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | tara87 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | Arkanzas | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | bridgetjenkins | No / 99.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 1y | mar1nettik | No / 99.9¢ | -12.00 | $12 |
1–25