
Volume
$475K
Txns
7,377
Traders
1,753
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 15, 2025
If the 7th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by January 31, 2025, ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 90%$39Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$4.85Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 95%$1.38Mvolume
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?
Yes 100%$50Kvolume
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Yes 100%$33.7Kvolume
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?
No 100%$64.4Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | FoldingNuts272 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | Hippolyte | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | Burnmoneyuser | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 1y | FoldingNuts272 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,634.04 | $1.63K | |
| 1y | Slowroasted | Yes / 99.9¢ | +365.96 | $366 | |
| 1y | Slowroasted | Yes / 99.9¢ | +7.43 | $7.42 | |
| 1y | Liquidifier | Yes / 99.9¢ | -7.43 | $7.42 | |
| 1y | fgvvsmd | Yes / 99.9¢ | -81.71 | $81.6 | |
| 1y | Slowroasted | Yes / 99.9¢ | +81.71 | $81.6 | |
| 1y | Slowroasted | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,544.90 | $4.54K | |
| 1y | lranon | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5,579.34 | $5.57K | |
| 1y | FoldingNuts272 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,034.44 | $1.03K | |
| 1y | gings | Yes / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | FoldingNuts272 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | FoldingNuts272 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,831.00 | $3.83K | |
| 1y | ehhhemmm | Yes / 99.9¢ | -3,831.00 | $3.83K | |
| 1y | FoldingNuts272 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +270.00 | $270 | |
| 1y | iamhungry | Yes / 99.9¢ | -270.00 | $270 | |
| 1y | Burnmoneyuser | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 1y | FoldingNuts272 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | No / 0.2¢ | +150.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | No / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | mdxfxfkzzc | No / 0.1¢ | +965.36 | $0.97 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | No / 0.2¢ | +150.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | endo2 | No / 0.1¢ | +16,000.00 | $16 |
1–25