
Volume
$8K
Txns
255
Traders
66
Fees
$75
Liquidity
$10,071
Ends
Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify. Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 93%$0volume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 85%$0volume
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 94%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?
No 80%$0volume
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
Yes 63%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6m | monoclith | No / 65.0¢ | +2.69 | $1.75 | |
| 6m | TeenagePanda | No / 63.9¢ | -2.69 | $1.72 | |
| 59m | monoclith | Yes / 33.0¢ | +80.00 | $26.4 | |
| 59m | iwinnero | No / 67.0¢ | +80.00 | $54.5 | |
| 1h | dajunshishui | No / 67.0¢ | +80.00 | $53.6 | |
| 1h | iwinnero | Yes / 33.0¢ | +80.00 | $27.3 | |
| 1h | bechamel | Yes / 31.0¢ | -20.00 | $6.2 | |
| 1h | cybermaxs | No / 69.0¢ | +20.00 | $13.8 | |
| 1h | TruongMyLan | Yes / 31.0¢ | +60.00 | $19.2 | |
| 1h | bullbull88 | Yes / 31.0¢ | -20.00 | $6.2 | |
| 1h | TruongMyLan | Yes / 31.0¢ | +500.00 | $160 | |
| 1h | ImAdUmDuM | No / 69.0¢ | +270.00 | $186 | |
| 1h | lissartter | No / 69.0¢ | +230.00 | $159 | |
| 1h | GuyFromTinder | No / 69.0¢ | +136.30 | $94 | |
| 1h | chessplayer | Yes / 31.0¢ | -108.86 | $33.7 | |
| 1h | tradetosurvive1 | No / 69.0¢ | +200.00 | $138 | |
| 1h | extractive-manatee | No / 69.0¢ | +200.00 | $138 | |
| 1h | simonshan | Yes / 31.0¢ | +645.16 | $207 | |
| 3h | qnguyen301 | No / 67.9¢ | -100.00 | $67.9 | |
| 3h | tradetosurvive1 | No / 69.0¢ | +100.00 | $69 | |
| 4h | zxcursed121 | No / 70.0¢ | +10.00 | $7 | |
| 4h | TeenagePanda | No / 69.0¢ | -10.00 | $6.89 | |
| 5h | lissartter | No / 71.0¢ | -15.00 | $10.7 | |
| 5h | guo-rich | Yes / 28.0¢ | -15.00 | $4.2 | |
| 5h | Slackjaw | Yes / 35.0¢ | +20.00 | $7 |
1–25