
Volume
$5K
Txns
144
Traders
37
Fees
$35
Liquidity
$2,494
Ends
—
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that Situational Awareness has sold any portion of its Anthropic equity by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A sale means a transfer of beneficial ownership of Anthropic equity to a third party for value, including a sale into a tender offer or secondary transaction. A distribution of Anthropic equity in kind to investors, a transfer to a liquidating trust or special purpose vehicle, or a pledge of Anthropic equity as collateral will not qualify. An agreement or stated intention to sell, without a completed sale, will not qualify. New confirmation of a previously undisclosed sale confirmed to have been made prior to this market’s creation will not qualify. Confirmation of such a sale must come before the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Information made public after this deadline will not qualify regardless of whether it confirms a prior sale. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 97%$0volume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 85%$0volume
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 96%$0volume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
No 65%$0volume
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
No 61%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13m | extractive-manatee | Yes / 28.0¢ | +140.00 | $39.2 | |
| 13m | buyaoshangtou1 | No / 72.0¢ | +140.00 | $102 | |
| 1h | extractive-manatee | Yes / 28.0¢ | +40.00 | $11.2 | |
| 1h | qnguyen301 | Yes / 27.0¢ | -40.00 | $10.8 | |
| 1h | Farlight | Yes / 27.0¢ | -40.00 | $10.8 | |
| 1h | qnguyen301 | Yes / 28.0¢ | +25.00 | $7 | |
| 1h | qnguyen301 | Yes / 28.0¢ | +15.00 | $4.2 | |
| 1h | qnguyen301 | Yes / 27.0¢ | -40.00 | $10.8 | |
| 1h | Farlight | Yes / 28.0¢ | +40.00 | $11.2 | |
| 1h | qnguyen301 | Yes / 28.0¢ | +25.00 | $7 | |
| 1h | Farlight | Yes / 27.0¢ | -40.00 | $10.8 | |
| 1h | qnguyen301 | Yes / 28.0¢ | +15.00 | $4.2 | |
| 3h | AllyouneedisClaude | No / 64.9¢ | -33.73 | $21.9 | |
| 3h | slqop | Yes / 34.0¢ | -33.73 | $11.5 | |
| 3h | asdfdd123 | No / 66.0¢ | +10.00 | $6.6 | |
| 3h | asfasdf112233 | No / 66.0¢ | +10.00 | $6.6 | |
| 3h | AllyouneedisClaude | No / 64.9¢ | -20.00 | $13 | |
| 3h | bechamel | No / 66.0¢ | +20.00 | $13.2 | |
| 3h | AllyouneedisClaude | No / 64.9¢ | -20.00 | $13 | |
| 3h | AllyouneedisClaude | No / 63.9¢ | -21.00 | $13.4 | |
| 3h | CustomTrader | Yes / 35.0¢ | -21.00 | $7.35 | |
| 3h | CustomTrader | Yes / 35.0¢ | +21.00 | $7.35 | |
| 3h | slqop | Yes / 38.0¢ | +20.00 | $7.6 | |
| 3h | chessplayer | No / 63.4¢ | +101.00 | $65.2 | |
| 3h | Farlight | Yes / 36.0¢ | +40.00 | $14.4 |
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