
Volume
$72K
Txns
3,119
Traders
672
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 1, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.17°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.17°C for September 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for September 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2024 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -70.00 | $0.07 | |
| 1y | christopheryeah | Yes / 0.1¢ | +70.00 | $0.07 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | cxvdsfg45 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -0.10 | $0 | |
| 1y | anyin | No / 99.9¢ | -0.10 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | MEGABASED | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20,000.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20,000.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | MarkWalter | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | babi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | MarkWalter | Yes / 0.1¢ | -224.00 | $0.22 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +224.00 | $0.22 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +224.00 | $0.22 | |
| 1y | MarkWalter | Yes / 0.1¢ | -224.00 | $0.22 | |
| 1y | oVyg7f | Yes / 0.2¢ | +144.13 | $0.29 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.2¢ | -144.13 | $0.29 | |
| 1y | RoaringValue | Yes / 0.2¢ | +80.00 | $0.16 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.2¢ | -80.00 | $0.16 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +800.00 | $0.8 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +476.00 | $0.48 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,673.00 | $2.67 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +365.00 | $0.36 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +755.00 | $0.76 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +545.00 | $0.55 |
1–25
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
Yes 61%$0volume
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
No 55%$0volume
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 20…
No 95%$0volume
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 20…
Yes 84%$0volume
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
No 99%$0volume
Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
No 68%$0volume