
Volume
$80
Txns
18
Traders
9
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$167
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify. Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm. The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25m | firebat | Yes / 50.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.5 | |
| 25m | 0xDBbC7D8598C3B6836Bf6D749701B7f49390CC980-1778296222215 | No / 50.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.55 | |
| 25m | flexer78 | Yes / 51.0¢ | +11.76 | $6 | |
| 25m | 0xDBbC7D8598C3B6836Bf6D749701B7f49390CC980-1778296222215 | No / 49.0¢ | +11.76 | $5.88 | |
| 1d | reid99 | Yes / 38.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.9 | |
| 1d | firebat | Yes / 36.3¢ | +20.00 | $7.43 | |
| 1d | 0x99bc...784f35 | No / 63.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.15 | |
| 1d | Mojito9 | Yes / 35.0¢ | -10.00 | $3.5 | |
| 1d | reid99 | Yes / 9.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.47 | |
| 1d | 0xDBbC7D8598C3B6836Bf6D749701B7f49390CC980-1778296222215 | No / 91.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.55 | |
| 1d | Mojito9 | Yes / 7.0¢ | +10.00 | $0.7 | |
| 1d | 0xDBbC7D8598C3B6836Bf6D749701B7f49390CC980-1778296222215 | No / 93.0¢ | +10.00 | $9.33 | |
| 1d | AJSV | Yes / 8.0¢ | +30.00 | $2.4 | |
| 1d | 0xDBbC7D8598C3B6836Bf6D749701B7f49390CC980-1778296222215 | No / 92.0¢ | +30.00 | $27.7 | |
| 2d | AJSV | Yes / 6.0¢ | +1.53 | $0.09 | |
| 2d | DOOMPLATO | Yes / 5.8¢ | -1.53 | $0.09 | |
| 2d | DeepMoneyValue | No / 35.0¢ | +1.54 | $0.54 | |
| 2d | DOOMPLATO | Yes / 65.0¢ | +1.54 | $1.01 |
1–18
Human moon landing in 2026?
No 97%$391Kvolume
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No 95%$851Kvolume
New pandemic in 2026?
No 90%$655Kvolume
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 80%$315Kvolume
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No 65%$177Kvolume
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
No 96%$309Kvolume