
Volume
$3K
Txns
69
Traders
22
Fees
$1
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify. Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm. The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26d | proposal123 | No / 99.9¢ | +810.00 | $809 | |
| 26d | em...well | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 26d | 0x8dc4...195c9a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +800.00 | $0.8 | |
| 26d | 0xd94f...afb250 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 26d | em...well | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 26d | redtiger2026 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 26d | em...well | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 26d | em...well | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 26d | fighter70 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 26d | em...well | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 26d | 0x284c...f9eaf0 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 26d | empty-dog | Yes / 0.2¢ | +10.32 | $0.02 | |
| 26d | PerspectiveOfPM | No / 99.8¢ | +10.32 | $10.3 | |
| 26d | empty-dog | Yes / 0.2¢ | +23.16 | $0.05 | |
| 26d | empty-dog | Yes / 0.7¢ | +57.46 | $0.4 | |
| 26d | empty-dog | Yes / 0.5¢ | +14.55 | $0.07 | |
| 26d | empty-dog | Yes / 0.2¢ | +36.07 | $0.07 | |
| 26d | empty-dog | Yes / 0.5¢ | +8.15 | $0.04 | |
| 26d | empty-dog | Yes / 0.2¢ | +25.59 | $0.05 | |
| 26d | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.8¢ | +100.00 | $0.8 | |
| 26d | empty-dog | Yes / 0.5¢ | +8.30 | $0.04 | |
| 26d | empty-dog | Yes / 0.5¢ | +9.44 | $0.05 | |
| 26d | LornaPredicts | Yes / 0.4¢ | +49.00 | $0.2 | |
| 26d | PerspectiveOfPM | No / 99.5¢ | +331.72 | $330 | |
| 28d | flexer78 | Yes / 1.3¢ | +32.01 | $0.42 |
1–25
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No 97%$0volume
New pandemic in 2026?
No 92%$0volume
Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?
Yes 80%$0volume
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No 60%$0volume
Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 29 be…
Yes 82%$0volume
Will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31…
No 99%$0volume