
Volume
$84K
Txns
3,691
Traders
1,288
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is no longer serving as CEO of OpenAI for any length of time from the date of this market's inception, December 29, 2024 through March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Sam Altman's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from OpenAI and/or Sam Altman, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Trades
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 98%$77.5Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.13Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 57%$742Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 87%$1.81Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$62.9Kvolume
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
No 88%$56.9Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | fkuUMA | Yes / 0.1¢ | -0.85 | $0 | |
| 1y | DwightBarria | No / 99.9¢ | -0.85 | $0.85 | |
| 1y | commeowder | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | commeowder | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +102.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | commeowder | Yes / 0.1¢ | -302.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | LBZone | No / 99.9¢ | -270.00 | $270 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +102.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | +472.00 | $472 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | LBZone | No / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | LBZone | No / 99.9¢ | +370.00 | $370 | |
| 1y | commeowder | Yes / 0.1¢ | +370.00 | $0.37 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | LBZone | Yes / 0.1¢ | -500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1y | 0x4e25...5cd7a7 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +270.00 | $0.27 | |
| 1y | commeowder | Yes / 0.1¢ | +130.00 | $0.13 | |
| 1y | commeowder | Yes / 0.1¢ | +17.02 | $0.02 |
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