Volume
$28K
Txns
1,189
Traders
304
Fees
$2
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 85%$0volume
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Yes 70%$0volume
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
No 69%$0volume
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Yes 89%$0volume
Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?
No 98%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29d | ep8alice | No / 95.5¢ | -4.04 | $3.86 | |
| 29d | AJSV | Yes / 4.3¢ | -4.04 | $0.17 | |
| 29d | 50sad | Yes / 0.6¢ | -5.00 | $0.03 | |
| 29d | 25oodksmsss09 | Yes / 1.0¢ | -10.90 | $0.11 | |
| 29d | Ahpo | No / 95.6¢ | +12.16 | $11.6 | |
| 29d | jason222 | No / 97.8¢ | -33.06 | $32.3 | |
| 29d | 25oodksmsss09 | Yes / 0.6¢ | -5.00 | $0.03 | |
| 1mo | 25oodksmsss09 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -12.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | 25oodksmsss09 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -9.96 | $0.03 | |
| 1mo | 50sad | Yes / 0.3¢ | -5.96 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | VincentPolymarket | Yes / 0.3¢ | +299.80 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | 25oodksmsss09 | Yes / 0.4¢ | -95.30 | $0.38 | |
| 1mo | 50sad | Yes / 0.2¢ | -5.96 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 25oodksmsss09 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -23.70 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | 50sad | Yes / 0.4¢ | -14.70 | $0.06 | |
| 1mo | 50sad | Yes / 0.3¢ | -48.30 | $0.14 | |
| 1mo | 50sad | Yes / 0.2¢ | -5.52 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 25oodksmsss09 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -24.90 | $0.07 | |
| 1mo | 25oodksmsss09 | Yes / 0.4¢ | -8.84 | $0.04 | |
| 1mo | 50sad | Yes / 0.2¢ | -7.86 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | 50sad | Yes / 0.4¢ | -36.80 | $0.15 | |
| 1mo | miniak | No / 99.9¢ | -1.04 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | 0x8fff...770482 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.04 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | phildubuy | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | wAng13 | No / 99.9¢ | -10.15 | $10.1 |
1–25