
Volume
$2K
Txns
162
Traders
48
Fees
$18
Liquidity
$3,206
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
If Rocket Lab’s Neutron rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by Rocket Lab (https://www.youtube.com/@RocketLabCorp), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., explosion or failed ascent) after the initial liftoff will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change or rebranding of the Neutron vehicle will have no bearing on the market’s resolution.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 99%$4.34Mvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
No 67%$1.05Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 99%$2.88Mvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
No 93%$136Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
No 86%$106Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?
Yes 94%$121Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12h | DeverNoom | No / 68.0¢ | +9.38 | $6.38 | |
| 12h | 0xfb784B1FfAe0005e640726582F7731EaA2f06dA6-1767013771631 | Yes / 32.0¢ | +9.38 | $3.08 | |
| 6d | DeverNoom | No / 68.0¢ | +1.95 | $1.33 | |
| 6d | ViscaElBarca | No / 67.1¢ | -1.95 | $1.31 | |
| 6d | 0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338 | Yes / 31.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.59 | |
| 6d | ViscaElBarca | No / 69.0¢ | +1.95 | $1.35 | |
| 6d | TraderProMax | Yes / 31.0¢ | -3.05 | $0.95 | |
| 6d | 0xe50c19A43bDd336B171e481E5630dc5e8F73D88C-1780110031415 | Yes / 31.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.59 | |
| 6d | TraderProMax | Yes / 31.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.55 | |
| 6d | Dr.PNL | Yes / 31.0¢ | +32.89 | $10.2 | |
| 6d | corsur4 | Yes / 30.1¢ | -32.89 | $9.91 | |
| 6d | Dr.PNL | Yes / 31.0¢ | +20.00 | $6.2 | |
| 6d | ViscaElBarca | Yes / 30.1¢ | -20.00 | $6.03 | |
| 6d | ViscaElBarca | Yes / 31.0¢ | +20.00 | $6.2 | |
| 6d | yangjinyang | Yes / 31.0¢ | +13.11 | $4.06 | |
| 6d | DeverNoom | No / 69.0¢ | -62.00 | $42.8 | |
| 6d | corsur4 | Yes / 31.0¢ | +32.89 | $10.2 | |
| 6d | nancydr3w | No / 69.0¢ | +128.00 | $89.4 | |
| 10d | DeverNoom | No / 68.0¢ | +31.25 | $21.3 | |
| 10d | mikeu | Yes / 32.0¢ | +31.25 | $10.3 | |
| 11d | nancydr3w | No / 67.1¢ | -29.80 | $20 | |
| 11d | DeverNoom | No / 68.0¢ | +29.80 | $20.3 | |
| 11d | pemhs | Yes / 31.0¢ | +13.40 | $4.15 | |
| 11d | yangjinyang | Yes / 31.0¢ | +6.89 | $2.14 | |
| 11d | ZHLoanShark | No / 69.0¢ | +20.29 | $14.2 |
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