
Volume
$65K
Txns
1,589
Traders
528
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 10, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns 40,000 or more acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 99%$0volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 94%$0volume
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 88%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 88%$0volume
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No 61%$0volume
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
Yes 69%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | ArbiTrader.Zim | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,699.99 | $1.7 | |
| 1y | PadreMaronno | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | BibaBobalololo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,000.00 | $3 | |
| 1y | momo-98761 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | +1,260.01 | $1.26K | |
| 1y | Hadrian212 | No / 99.9¢ | -200.01 | $200 | |
| 1y | momo-98761 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | Slowroasted | No / 99.9¢ | +195.01 | $195 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | Gambler1968 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +43.54 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | ArbiTrader.Zim | Yes / 0.1¢ | +187.63 | $0.19 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +231.17 | $231 | |
| 1y | ArbiTrader.Zim | Yes / 0.1¢ | +184.00 | $0.18 | |
| 1y | wokerjoesleeper | No / 99.9¢ | +184.00 | $184 | |
| 1y | ArbiTrader.Zim | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.21 | $0 | |
| 1y | yasiksalik | No / 99.9¢ | +1.21 | $1.21 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +15.17 | $15.2 | |
| 1y | ArbiTrader.Zim | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.17 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | momo-98761 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.96 | $1.96 | |
| 1y | ArbiTrader.Zim | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.96 | $0 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | ArbiTrader.Zim | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | ArbiTrader.Zim | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 |
1–25