
Volume
$121K
Txns
1,795
Traders
368
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's Sora model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sora must be launched and publicly accessible, which includes open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, for this market to resolve to "Yes". Closed beta or an otherwise private launch will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 94%$0volume
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No 99%$0volume
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
Yes 66%$0volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 97%$0volume
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 86%$0volume
Will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31,…
Yes 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Twizzler | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +49.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | Themis11 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -90.16 | $90.1 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +173.40 | $0.17 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | Ordon | Yes / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Twizzler | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Niziolowski | Yes / 99.9¢ | -40.05 | $40 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,112.52 | $2.11K | |
| 1y | theo5 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,485.91 | $1.48K | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +154.00 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +145.71 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | Eroale | No / 0.1¢ | -145.71 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | Gazillionaire | Yes / 99.3¢ | -45.05 | $44.7 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.7¢ | -45.05 | $0.32 | |
| 1y | Geromi | No / 0.6¢ | -20.00 | $0.12 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.7¢ | -7.69 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.7¢ | -53.41 | $0.37 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.7¢ | -64.61 | $0.45 | |
| 1y | Eroale | No / 0.7¢ | +145.71 | $1 | |
| 1y | ZwinkoPanamarenko | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.01 | $5 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +5.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Infringe | Yes / 99.9¢ | +7,046.26 | $7.04K |
1–25