
Volume
$825
Txns
35
Traders
15
Fees
$4
Liquidity
$393
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges, files a criminal complaint, or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of OpenAI Foundation, OpenAI Group PBC or any parent, subsidiary, or successor of either entity, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. A qualifying charge need not result in a conviction. This market will resolve to "Yes" even if the charge is later dismissed, reduced, or resolved through a deferred prosecution agreement, so long as it was filed or announced by the date specified above. Charges solely against individuals will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | Slackjaw | No / 68.1¢ | -20.00 | $13.6 | |
| 1d | romanew-1-new | Yes / 31.0¢ | -20.00 | $6.2 | |
| 5d | 0xca75...390a64 | No / 71.0¢ | -6.00 | $4.26 | |
| 5d | 0xf528...127e5b | No / 71.0¢ | +6.00 | $4.31 | |
| 6d | canadastan | Yes / 20.3¢ | -30.49 | $6.2 | |
| 6d | Dr.PNL | No / 79.0¢ | -30.49 | $24.1 | |
| 6d | winexecutescale | Yes / 23.0¢ | +21.00 | $4.83 | |
| 6d | romanew-1-new | Yes / 23.0¢ | +27.17 | $6.25 | |
| 6d | canadastan | Yes / 21.0¢ | -185.66 | $39.1 | |
| 6d | LornaPredicts | Yes / 20.0¢ | +50.00 | $10 | |
| 6d | Dr.PNL | No / 78.0¢ | -87.49 | $68.2 | |
| 6d | 0xca75...390a64 | No / 85.5¢ | -10.84 | $9.27 | |
| 6d | simulacrum3 | No / 86.0¢ | +10.84 | $9.32 | |
| 6d | holacomesta | No / 85.5¢ | -20.00 | $17.1 | |
| 6d | simulacrum3 | No / 86.0¢ | +10.84 | $9.32 | |
| 6d | simulacrum3 | No / 86.0¢ | +9.16 | $7.88 | |
| 6d | FFFFFFFF9 | No / 85.5¢ | -29.16 | $24.9 | |
| 6d | Slackjaw | No / 86.0¢ | +20.00 | $17.2 | |
| 6d | simulacrum3 | No / 86.0¢ | +9.16 | $7.88 | |
| 6d | holacomesta | No / 87.0¢ | +20.00 | $17.4 | |
| 6d | tiongbu | No / 87.0¢ | +21.00 | $18.3 | |
| 6d | simulacrum3 | No / 87.0¢ | +20.00 | $17.4 | |
| 6d | wfsxfwetrdsf | No / 86.5¢ | -61.00 | $52.8 | |
| 6d | FFFFFFFF9 | No / 88.0¢ | +9.17 | $8.07 | |
| 6d | 0x5449...46992b | Yes / 12.0¢ | +9.17 | $1.14 |
1–25
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 93%$0volume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 85%$0volume
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 94%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?
No 80%$0volume
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
Yes 63%$0volume