OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?
ResolvedVolume
$273K
Txns
2,137
Traders
422
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2025
Volume
$273K
Txns
2,137
Traders
422
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by June 30, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$189Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$120Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$116Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.16Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
No 100%$74.8Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 87%$1.83Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | nghiapham | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 11mo | daoxin | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 11mo | nghiapham | No / 99.9¢ | +1,478.23 | $1.48K | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +453.00 | $0.45 | |
| 11mo | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +988.23 | $0.99 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.00 | $0.03 | |
| 11mo | nghiapham | No / 99.8¢ | +1,995.08 | $1.99K | |
| 11mo | Parz1vaI | No / 99.8¢ | -1,995.08 | $1.99K | |
| 11mo | ArcLing | No / 99.8¢ | +7.77 | $7.75 | |
| 11mo | Parz1vaI | No / 99.8¢ | -7.77 | $7.75 | |
| 11mo | Parz1vaI | No / 99.8¢ | -41.22 | $41.1 | |
| 11mo | Melodrama13 | No / 99.8¢ | +41.22 | $41.1 | |
| 11mo | StrangerThings | No / 99.9¢ | +4.00 | $4 | |
| 11mo | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4.00 | $0 | |
| 11mo | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +7.76 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | GHLinn | No / 99.9¢ | +7.76 | $7.75 | |
| 11mo | Wojtek | Yes / 0.5¢ | +959.78 | $4.8 | |
| 11mo | Parz1vaI | No / 99.5¢ | +959.78 | $955 | |
| 11mo | Parz1vaI | No / 99.2¢ | -20.00 | $19.8 | |
| 11mo | stanley.marsh | No / 99.2¢ | +20.00 | $19.8 | |
| 11mo | Wojtek | Yes / 0.5¢ | +30.15 | $0.15 | |
| 11mo | liyouaaaa | No / 99.5¢ | +30.15 | $30 | |
| 11mo | eiuiob | No / 99.2¢ | -2.10 | $2.08 | |
| 11mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.8¢ | -2.10 | $0.02 |
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