
Volume
$77K
Txns
2,454
Traders
579
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +46.64 | $0.05 | |
| 6mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +45.41 | $0.05 | |
| 6mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +100.96 | $101 | |
| 6mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +8.91 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | flycococo1212 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 6mo | fgdhWERG3434RHE | No / 99.8¢ | -2.00 | $2 | |
| 6mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.2¢ | -2.00 | $0 | |
| 6mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +0.97 | $0 | |
| 6mo | bethegirl | No / 99.9¢ | +15.00 | $15 | |
| 6mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.03 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.00 | $0 | |
| 6mo | fgdhWERG3434RHE | No / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 6mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 6mo | ooufhgor | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +25.92 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +47.62 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +26.46 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | jjogigh | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 7mo | naruto-japper | No / 99.9¢ | +6.01 | $6 | |
| 7mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.01 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | andiyo | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 7mo | lonelynight | No / 99.9¢ | +16.00 | $16 | |
| 7mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.02 | $0.01 |
1–25
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
No 71%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes 68%$0volume
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by July 31?
No 92%$0volume
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?
No 72%$0volume
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
No 78%$0volume
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic 90%$0volume