
Volume
$20K
Txns
379
Traders
116
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for 'Gavin Newsom' in the "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" market (https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028?tid=1764680585562) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during any four-hour period ending by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/odds-of-newsom-dem-pres-nominee-over-40-by-december-31 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Trades
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 100%$0volume
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 80%$0volume
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 87%$0volume
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elec…
Yes 56%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026…
No 98%$0volume
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
No 98%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | thecaricature | Yes / 0.1¢ | +794.87 | $0.79 | |
| 7mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +794.87 | $794 | |
| 7mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 7mo | thecaricature | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 7mo | thecaricature | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 7mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 7mo | emcor | No / 99.9¢ | -94.87 | $94.8 | |
| 7mo | thecaricature | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.13 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 7mo | emcor | No / 99.9¢ | -500.00 | $500 | |
| 7mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 7mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 7mo | emcor | No / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 7mo | blunderbot | No / 99.9¢ | -16.63 | $16.6 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +64.49 | $0.06 | |
| 7mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +35.78 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +49.12 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +45.91 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.65 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | emcor | No / 99.9¢ | -1.30 | $1.3 | |
| 7mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 7mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +115.00 | $0.12 | |
| 7mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.01 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | Oddinn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +36.60 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.43 | $0.04 |
1–25