
Volume
$432K
Txns
2,953
Traders
439
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-february-28) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during any two-hour period ending by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-february-28-over-50 or through the “Get Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a two-hour window. This will display a two-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Trades
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 79%$0volume
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
No 56%$0volume
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 100%$0volume
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 99%$0volume
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 87%$0volume
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elec…
Yes 55%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | 0x8584...d6bbe4 | No / 99.9¢ | -0.01 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Noooooooop | No / 99.9¢ | +0.01 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Noooooooop | No / 99.9¢ | +19.19 | $19.2 | |
| 5mo | 0xfedf...05ba91 | No / 99.9¢ | -19.19 | $19.2 | |
| 5mo | Noooooooop | No / 99.9¢ | +1.30 | $1.3 | |
| 5mo | 0xed2d...151cec | No / 99.9¢ | -1.30 | $1.3 | |
| 5mo | 0x8584...d6bbe4 | No / 99.9¢ | -33.02 | $33 | |
| 5mo | Noooooooop | No / 99.9¢ | +33.02 | $33 | |
| 5mo | Noooooooop | No / 99.9¢ | +1.02 | $1.02 | |
| 5mo | 0x0e6a...0b2f16 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.02 | $1.02 | |
| 5mo | 0xb268...d8712d | No / 99.9¢ | -1.10 | $1.1 | |
| 5mo | Noooooooop | No / 99.9¢ | +1.10 | $1.1 | |
| 5mo | Noooooooop | No / 99.9¢ | +2.71 | $2.71 | |
| 5mo | 0x9c98...933bab | No / 99.9¢ | -2.71 | $2.71 | |
| 5mo | Noooooooop | No / 99.9¢ | +3.94 | $3.94 | |
| 5mo | 0x2a15...e5f2a3 | No / 99.9¢ | -3.94 | $3.94 | |
| 5mo | Noooooooop | No / 99.9¢ | +1.07 | $1.07 | |
| 5mo | 0x5cae...bc181a | No / 99.9¢ | -1.07 | $1.07 | |
| 5mo | Noooooooop | No / 99.9¢ | +4.49 | $4.49 | |
| 5mo | 0xccb5...025a6e | No / 99.9¢ | -4.49 | $4.49 | |
| 5mo | 0xe44e...9f1806 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.06 | $1.06 | |
| 5mo | Noooooooop | No / 99.9¢ | +1.06 | $1.06 | |
| 5mo | Noooooooop | No / 99.9¢ | +1.69 | $1.69 | |
| 5mo | 0xa344...5fbb29 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.69 | $1.69 | |
| 5mo | Noooooooop | No / 99.9¢ | +2.59 | $2.59 |
1–25