Volume
$3K
Txns
156
Traders
49
Fees
$20
Liquidity
$311
Ends
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify. Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 94%$0volume
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 90%$0volume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 88%$0volume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
No 65%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
Yes 94%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | molodoyy | Yes / 78.7¢ | -61.00 | $48 | |
| 2h | uiuiuiu | Yes / 79.0¢ | +40.00 | $31.6 | |
| 2h | Numitus1994 | No / 20.0¢ | -21.00 | $4.2 | |
| 21h | 0x40C73F1916fbd495f8117Dc5755561aD778CB1E8-1782111633519 | No / 20.0¢ | -3.01 | $0.6 | |
| 21h | 0xDE72a6622A0eeC9bbba17ecfa4E2173a6A03E386-1781835814300 | No / 20.0¢ | +10.33 | $2.13 | |
| 21h | 0xf528...127e5b | Yes / 80.0¢ | +7.32 | $5.86 | |
| 1d | b4rbed | Yes / 79.4¢ | -1.99 | $1.58 | |
| 1d | 0x40C73F1916fbd495f8117Dc5755561aD778CB1E8-1782111633519 | No / 20.0¢ | -1.99 | $0.4 | |
| 1d | addi444 | No / 8.0¢ | -17.23 | $1.38 | |
| 1d | endoption | Yes / 91.0¢ | +219.78 | $200 | |
| 1d | bechamel | No / 9.0¢ | -20.00 | $1.8 | |
| 1d | Dr.PNL | Yes / 91.0¢ | +115.01 | $105 | |
| 1d | molodoyy | Yes / 90.7¢ | -372.02 | $337 | |
| 1d | endoption | Yes / 95.4¢ | +100.00 | $95.6 | |
| 1d | addi444 | No / 3.0¢ | +7.30 | $0.22 | |
| 1d | Numitus1994 | No / 9.0¢ | +21.00 | $1.89 | |
| 1d | qqqppp-l1 | No / 2.0¢ | +32.40 | $0.65 | |
| 1d | qqqppp-l1 | No / 7.0¢ | +4.37 | $0.31 | |
| 1d | addi444 | No / 5.0¢ | +9.93 | $0.5 | |
| 1d | qqqppp-l1 | No / 4.0¢ | +25.00 | $1 | |
| 1d | subordinado | No / 8.6¢ | -29.00 | $2.5 | |
| 1d | qqqppp-l1 | No / 7.0¢ | +9.91 | $0.69 | |
| 1d | qqqppp-l1 | No / 11.0¢ | +9.09 | $1 | |
| 1d | 0x40C73F1916fbd495f8117Dc5755561aD778CB1E8-1782111633519 | No / 10.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1d | 0xd10A59fCC18955EeAebd06D1234Cc3BD1e3fB9cD-1782111984332 | Yes / 92.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.6 |
1–25