
Volume
$45K
Txns
1,316
Traders
302
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 29, 2026
"This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2025, scheduled for release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) on January 29, 2026, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product. Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered."
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20.9Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 81%$20.1Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.33Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$10.9Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.64Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 58%$4.31Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | 0x31A8fl8DEAfA62FbF9cc89F6f5d95aAb53970936 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 3mo | 0x31A8fl8DEAfA62FbF9cc89F6f5d95aAb53970936 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 3mo | 0x31A8fl8DEAfA62FbF9cc89F6f5d95aAb53970936 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 3mo | Ericgxc5 | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 3mo | Elsass4 | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 3mo | Adelinead23 | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 3mo | 0x31A8fl8DEAfA62FbF9cc89F6f5d95aAb53970936 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 3mo | Freyal9 | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 3mo | 0x31A8fl8DEAfA62FbF9cc89F6f5d95aAb53970936 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 3mo | Toddj6 | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 3mo | Brookef32 | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 3mo | 0x31A8fl8DEAfA62FbF9cc89F6f5d95aAb53970936 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 3mo | 0x29367D86eF1432bfBBEb266BEc3b72f1Ce090a12-1770124606024 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | RedVelvetWendy | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | blunderbot | No / 99.9¢ | -7.50 | $7.49 | |
| 3mo | wendypeekaboo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | thecaricature | Yes / 0.2¢ | +960.81 | $1.92 | |
| 3mo | thecaricature | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 3mo | 0x152 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.00 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | +3,028.31 | $3.02K | |
| 3mo | Parthenope | No / 99.7¢ | +53.42 | $53.3 | |
| 3mo | 0x386f84A1684b46E99B488A1f45B5F97e93C3db83-1771535753864 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +53.42 | $0.16 | |
| 3mo | 0x4dd8...225972 | No / 99.8¢ | +6.75 | $6.74 | |
| 3mo | thecaricature | Yes / 0.2¢ | +6.75 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | QMG-CORE | No / 99.6¢ | +96.75 | $96.4 |
1–25