
Volume
$245K
Txns
11,097
Traders
727
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 30, 2026
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2025, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2025, scheduled for release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) on January 30, 2026, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product. Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2025, which provides the initial full-year 2025 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.
Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 99%$6.34Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$17.6Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$10.1Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 92%$17.5Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$5.83Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 73%$3.59Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | 0x465A35c281148a2f7AF8b92d2a1F4da03742CA63-1736129497857 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | Midas.C | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | 0x2C45f2bE0c74bf01580A4b558bb26979D6e64790-1758033737214 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | Midas.C | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | 0x2C45f2bE0c74bf01580A4b558bb26979D6e64790-1758033737214 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | Midas.C | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | 0x2C45f2bE0c74bf01580A4b558bb26979D6e64790-1758033737214 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | Midas.C | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | Midas.C | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | 0x01eD5C64d1d8905afd7917d75A5652665f5CcA5f-1751010305759 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | 0x01eD5C64d1d8905afd7917d75A5652665f5CcA5f-1751010305759 | No / 99.9¢ | +6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 3mo | westgardeng | No / 99.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 3mo | 0x152 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.00 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | +10,116.44 | $10.1K | |
| 3mo | wnine | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +71.44 | $0.07 | |
| 3mo | wnine | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | 0x29367D86eF1432bfBBEb266BEc3b72f1Ce090a12-1770124606024 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 3mo | Slowroasted | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 3mo | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.72 | $0 | |
| 3mo | Mah234 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.72 | $1.72 | |
| 3mo | taut-dogwood | No / 99.8¢ | +1,000.00 | $998 | |
| 3mo | nekitweet | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1,000.00 | $2 | |
| 3mo | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4.79 | $0 |
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