
Volume
$58K
Txns
431
Traders
134
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2025
President of Mexico, Claudia Sheinbaum, recently stated she has been considering applying tariffs to Chinese goods to avoid a US imposition of tariffs on Mexican goods (https://fortune.com/2025/02/24/mexico-weighs-china-tariffs-trump-deal-claudia-sheinbaum/) This market will resolve to “Yes” if any new tariffs on imports into Mexico from China go into effect for any amount of time between February 23, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. Only tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into Mexico) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Trades
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 93%$72.8Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
No 100%$11.2Mvolume
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
No 99%$1.49Mvolume
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No 88%$2.11Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
No 97%$817Kvolume
China coup attempt before 2027?
No 97%$118Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | rwo | No / 99.8¢ | +99.00 | $98.8 | |
| 11mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.00 | $0.03 | |
| 11mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.3¢ | +67.00 | $0.2 | |
| 11mo | iliabouchouev | No / 99.6¢ | +8.00 | $7.97 | |
| 11mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.4¢ | +8.00 | $0.03 | |
| 11mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.4¢ | +20.00 | $0.08 | |
| 11mo | iliabouchouev | No / 99.6¢ | +20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 11mo | iliabouchouev | No / 99.6¢ | +20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 11mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.4¢ | +20.00 | $0.08 | |
| 11mo | iliabouchouev | No / 99.6¢ | +20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 11mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.4¢ | +20.00 | $0.08 | |
| 11mo | smurfeta | No / 99.8¢ | -5.23 | $5.22 | |
| 11mo | adelinemay | No / 99.8¢ | +5.23 | $5.22 | |
| 11mo | smurfeta | No / 99.1¢ | +6.25 | $6.19 | |
| 11mo | benzioguerriero | No / 99.1¢ | -6.25 | $6.19 | |
| 11mo | smurfeta | No / 99.1¢ | +2.08 | $2.06 | |
| 11mo | 875jh4 | No / 99.1¢ | -2.08 | $2.06 | |
| 11mo | Chims | No / 99.4¢ | -190.55 | $189 | |
| 11mo | Qualitative | Yes / 0.3¢ | -500.90 | $1.45 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +310.35 | $0.31 | |
| 11mo | Qualitative | Yes / 1.0¢ | +500.90 | $4.88 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 1.0¢ | -373.77 | $3.74 | |
| 11mo | planktonXD | Yes / 0.9¢ | -127.13 | $1.14 | |
| 11mo | Chims | No / 99.4¢ | -5.00 | $4.97 | |
| 11mo | daoxin | No / 99.4¢ | +5.00 | $4.97 |
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