
Volume
$309K
Txns
1,532
Traders
356
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2025
A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater. This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on earth between February 1 and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake hazards program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Trades
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No 95%$843Kvolume
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
No 100%$3.15Kvolume
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
No 100%$2.15Kvolume
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
No 55%$5.7Kvolume
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
No 100%$1.46Kvolume
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
No 99%$1.36Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | Cryptonite101 | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | fkuUMA | No / 99.9¢ | -1,500.00 | $1.5K | |
| 1y | Jobitothemoon | No / 99.9¢ | -5.03 | $5.02 | |
| 1y | exposito | No / 99.9¢ | -2,571.76 | $2.57K | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | Rr55 | No / 99.8¢ | -430.81 | $430 | |
| 1y | Cryptonite101 | No / 99.9¢ | +4,557.60 | $4.55K | |
| 1y | Rr55 | No / 99.8¢ | -25.00 | $24.9 | |
| 1y | Mr.CostaRica | Yes / 0.2¢ | -25.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | Rr55 | No / 99.8¢ | -4.01 | $4 | |
| 1y | kukarachacha | No / 99.8¢ | +4.01 | $4 | |
| 1y | notebookled | No / 99.6¢ | -50.00 | $49.8 | |
| 1y | fkuUMA | No / 99.6¢ | +50.00 | $49.8 | |
| 1y | Fooora | No / 99.8¢ | +3.01 | $3 | |
| 1y | Rr55 | No / 99.8¢ | -3.01 | $3 | |
| 1y | Rr55 | No / 99.8¢ | -21.12 | $21.1 | |
| 1y | Parthenope | No / 99.8¢ | +21.12 | $21.1 | |
| 1y | Rr55 | No / 99.8¢ | -8.02 | $8 | |
| 1y | Dando | No / 99.8¢ | +8.02 | $8 | |
| 1y | Rr55 | No / 99.8¢ | -6.01 | $6 | |
| 1y | tsushima | No / 99.8¢ | +6.01 | $6 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | Yes / 0.6¢ | -15.00 | $0.09 | |
| 1y | Love.always.wins.over.hatred.and.envy | No / 99.4¢ | -15.00 | $14.9 | |
| 1y | Rr55 | No / 99.8¢ | -2.00 | $2 |
1–25