
Volume
$471K
Txns
4,405
Traders
977
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2024
A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater. This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on earth between December 2 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake hazards program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | hundred11 | No / 99.9¢ | -70.91 | $70.8 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | No / 99.9¢ | +70.91 | $70.8 | |
| 1y | Geromi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | No / 99.9¢ | -219.88 | $220 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +55.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | rpo | No / 99.9¢ | +374.88 | $375 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | No / 99.7¢ | +1.85 | $1.84 | |
| 1y | Leonelrtgg | No / 99.7¢ | -1.85 | $1.84 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | No / 99.9¢ | -2.11 | $2.11 | |
| 1y | Geromi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +97.99 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | Hoondong9 | No / 99.9¢ | +100.10 | $100 | |
| 1y | Hoondong11 | No / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | Geromi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.00 | $0 | |
| 1y | Hoongdong12 | No / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | No / 99.9¢ | -2.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | rpo | No / 99.8¢ | +55.31 | $55.2 | |
| 1y | gaffy3r | Yes / 0.2¢ | +55.31 | $0.11 | |
| 1y | Hoondong12 | No / 99.9¢ | +3.00 | $3 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | No / 99.9¢ | -3.00 | $3 | |
| 1y | gaffy3r | Yes / 0.2¢ | +55.31 | $0.11 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | No / 99.8¢ | +55.31 | $55.2 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | No / 99.9¢ | -2.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | 5132ksk | No / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.02 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | Hoondong15 | No / 99.9¢ | +20.02 | $20 |
1–25
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No 99%$0volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 94%$0volume
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
Yes 61%$0volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 97%$0volume
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 86%$0volume
Will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31,…
Yes 100%$0volume