
Volume
$127K
Txns
658
Traders
146
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 31, 2025
A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater. This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on earth between July 15, and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake hazards program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until September 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | Venmo | No / 0.1¢ | -9.09 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | WAENAE2 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -9.09 | $9.08 | |
| 10mo | whyuasostupid | No / 0.1¢ | +400.00 | $0.4 | |
| 10mo | elon777 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,500.00 | $1.5 | |
| 10mo | welshpottingmachine | Yes / 99.9¢ | -500.00 | $500 | |
| 10mo | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 10mo | Venmo | No / 0.1¢ | -2,900.00 | $2.9 | |
| 10mo | JaidenAnimations | Yes / 99.8¢ | -428.08 | $427 | |
| 10mo | Venmo | No / 0.2¢ | -228.08 | $0.46 | |
| 10mo | topl | No / 0.2¢ | -200.00 | $0.4 | |
| 10mo | Mr.Fujin | No / 0.1¢ | -1,189.01 | $1.19 | |
| 10mo | Venmo | No / 0.1¢ | +4,389.01 | $4.39 | |
| 10mo | welshpottingmachine | Yes / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 10mo | whyuasostupid | No / 0.1¢ | -1,200.00 | $1.2 | |
| 10mo | elon777 | No / 0.1¢ | -1,500.00 | $1.5 | |
| 10mo | Mr.Fujin | No / 0.1¢ | -721.42 | $0.72 | |
| 10mo | DABAI-488 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -721.42 | $721 | |
| 10mo | zoldado | Yes / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 10mo | Mr.Fujin | No / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 10mo | whyuasostupid | No / 0.1¢ | +400.00 | $0.4 | |
| 10mo | welshpottingmachine | Yes / 99.9¢ | -3,559.09 | $3.56K | |
| 10mo | Mr.Fujin | No / 0.1¢ | -3,959.09 | $3.96 | |
| 10mo | welshpottingmachine | Yes / 99.8¢ | +9.09 | $9.07 | |
| 10mo | coaster | Yes / 99.8¢ | -9.09 | $9.07 | |
| 10mo | elon777 | No / 0.2¢ | +1,500.00 | $3 |
1–25
Is Earth flat?
No 98%$2.15Kvolume
Megaquake by June 30?
No 92%$94.9Kvolume
Natural Disaster in 2026?
No 78%$212Kvolume
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
No 90%$98.7Kvolume
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
No 70%$334Kvolume
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition
Yes 100%$68.5Kvolume