
Volume
$718K
Txns
4,378
Traders
586
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the combined cap weight of the Magnificent Seven stocks (Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google (Alphabet Class A and C), Meta, Tesla, and Nvidia) in the S&P 500 index, calculated using the official S&P 500 index cap weighting formula, falls below 30% on any trading day (using market close prices) by the last day of trading in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be daily closes prices applied to the cap weighting formula for the S&P 500.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31…
No 76%$0volume
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 77%$0volume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 85%$0volume
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December…
No 69%$0volume
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 3…
No 58%$0volume
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on…
Yes 78%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Car | No / 0.1¢ | -3,794.09 | $3.79 | |
| 1y | Mecky | Yes / 99.9¢ | -3,794.09 | $3.79K | |
| 1y | azadam | No / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | Car | No / 0.1¢ | -2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | Roeman | Yes / 99.9¢ | -13.01 | $13 | |
| 1y | notebookled | No / 0.1¢ | -13.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | EatNuggetsBro | No / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | Car | No / 0.1¢ | -8,065.00 | $8.06 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5,065.00 | $5.06K | |
| 1y | interficio | No / 0.1¢ | +950.00 | $0.95 | |
| 1y | notebookled | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | CarlosFdez | Yes / 99.8¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 1y | JJo | Yes / 99.8¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 1y | notebookled | No / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | interficio | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | Geromi | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | AreWeNotEntertained | Yes / 99.8¢ | +15,363.00 | $15.3K | |
| 1y | notebookled | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 99.8¢ | -14,567.00 | $14.5K | |
| 1y | Zarshka | Yes / 99.9¢ | -196.00 | $196 | |
| 1y | MonkMode | Yes / 99.9¢ | -250.00 | $250 | |
| 1y | EatNuggetsBro | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | ACara | No / 0.3¢ | +400.00 | $1.2 | |
| 1y | elon777 | No / 0.3¢ | +5,000.00 | $15 | |
| 1y | haohua | Yes / 99.7¢ | +8,881.37 | $8.85K |
1–25