Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?
ResolvedVolume
$718K
Txns
4,377
Traders
586
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
Volume
$718K
Txns
4,377
Traders
586
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the combined cap weight of the Magnificent Seven stocks (Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google (Alphabet Class A and C), Meta, Tesla, and Nvidia) in the S&P 500 index, calculated using the official S&P 500 index cap weighting formula, falls below 30% on any trading day (using market close prices) by the last day of trading in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be daily closes prices applied to the cap weighting formula for the S&P 500.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Car | No / 0.1¢ | -3,794.09 | $3.79 | |
| 1y | Mecky | Yes / 99.9¢ | -3,794.09 | $3.79K | |
| 1y | azadam | No / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | Car | No / 0.1¢ | -2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | Roeman | Yes / 99.9¢ | -13.01 | $13 | |
| 1y | notebookled | No / 0.1¢ | -13.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | EatNuggetsBro | No / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | Car | No / 0.1¢ | -8,065.00 | $8.06 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5,065.00 | $5.06K | |
| 1y | interficio | No / 0.1¢ | +950.00 | $0.95 | |
| 1y | notebookled | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | CarlosFdez | Yes / 99.8¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 1y | JJo | Yes / 99.8¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 1y | notebookled | No / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | interficio | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | Geromi | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | AreWeNotEntertained | Yes / 99.8¢ | +15,363.00 | $15.3K | |
| 1y | notebookled | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 99.8¢ | -14,567.00 | $14.5K | |
| 1y | Zarshka | Yes / 99.9¢ | -196.00 | $196 | |
| 1y | MonkMode | Yes / 99.9¢ | -250.00 | $250 | |
| 1y | EatNuggetsBro | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | ACara | No / 0.3¢ | +400.00 | $1.2 | |
| 1y | elon777 | No / 0.3¢ | +5,000.00 | $15 | |
| 1y | haohua | Yes / 99.7¢ | +8,881.37 | $8.85K |
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