
Volume
$337K
Txns
3,153
Traders
516
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the combined weight of the Magnificent Seven stocks (Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google (Alphabet Class A and C), Meta, Tesla, and Nvidia) in the S&P 500 index, calculated using the official S&P 500 index weighting formula, falls below 25% on any trading day (using market close prices) by the last day of trading in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be daily closes prices applied to the weighting formula for the S&P 500.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31…
Yes 88%$0volume
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
No 90%$0volume
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on…
No 91%$0volume
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July…
No 100%$0volume
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on J…
Yes 84%$0volume
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 3…
No 66%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 7mo | wenying2025 | No / 99.9¢ | -2.00 | $2 | |
| 7mo | tja | No / 99.8¢ | +5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 7mo | flywheelpoly | No / 99.8¢ | -5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 7mo | tiredShip | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 7mo | 0x0a23...3aaa25 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +89.00 | $0.09 | |
| 7mo | tja | No / 99.9¢ | +256.09 | $256 | |
| 7mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +35.24 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +35.49 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +35.51 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.85 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | wks118 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 7mo | fgdhWERG3434RHE | No / 99.7¢ | -2.00 | $1.99 | |
| 7mo | wenying2025 | No / 99.7¢ | +2.00 | $1.99 | |
| 7mo | flywheelpoly | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 7mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.00 | $0 | |
| 7mo | fgdhWERG3434RHE | No / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 7mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.85 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.15 | $0 | |
| 7mo | Webet888 | No / 99.9¢ | +12.00 | $12 | |
| 7mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +24.99 | $0.02 | |
| 7mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +42.72 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +36.34 | $0.04 |
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