
Volume
$28M
Txns
85,068
Traders
9,927
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Lighter's token is greater than $2,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Lighter doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
Trades
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
No 82%$1.58Mvolume
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
No 94%$24.4Kvolume
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Yes 100%$6.87Mvolume
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
No 82%$139Kvolume
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by June 30, 2027?
No 88%$693volume
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
No 76%$156Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | 0x8f40...5e600d | No / 0.1¢ | +2,320.00 | $2.32 | |
| 5mo | M888 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,320.00 | $2.32K | |
| 5mo | NihilisticMeerkat | Yes / 99.9¢ | -6,286.32 | $6.28K | |
| 5mo | M888 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +6,286.32 | $6.28K | |
| 5mo | 0x01eD5C64d1d8905afd7917d75A5652665f5CcA5f-1751010305759 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +85.00 | $84.9 | |
| 5mo | 0x01eD5C64d1d8905afd7917d75A5652665f5CcA5f-1751010305759 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +88.00 | $87.9 | |
| 5mo | classified | Yes / 99.9¢ | +44,226.03 | $44.2K | |
| 5mo | Tomdnc | No / 0.1¢ | +50,000.00 | $50 | |
| 5mo | 0x01eD5C64d1d8905afd7917d75A5652665f5CcA5f-1751010305759 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +88.00 | $87.9 | |
| 5mo | M888 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5,248.97 | $5.24K | |
| 5mo | 0x01eD5C64d1d8905afd7917d75A5652665f5CcA5f-1751010305759 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +88.00 | $87.9 | |
| 5mo | 0x01eD5C64d1d8905afd7917d75A5652665f5CcA5f-1751010305759 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +88.00 | $87.9 | |
| 5mo | 0x01eD5C64d1d8905afd7917d75A5652665f5CcA5f-1751010305759 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +88.00 | $87.9 | |
| 5mo | Dze5 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -255.62 | $255 | |
| 5mo | classified | Yes / 99.9¢ | +255.62 | $255 | |
| 5mo | AG28 | No / 0.1¢ | +18,000.00 | $18 | |
| 5mo | classified | Yes / 99.9¢ | +18,000.00 | $18K | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +9,986.00 | $9.98K | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +9,983.00 | $9.97K | |
| 5mo | tradexplorer | No / 0.1¢ | +100,000.00 | $100 | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +9,987.00 | $9.98K | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +9,988.00 | $9.98K | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,596.65 | $2.59K | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +9,993.00 | $9.98K | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +9,989.00 | $9.98K |
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