Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
ActiveVolume
$404
Txns
43
Traders
24
Fees
$3
Liquidity
$205
Ends
May 15, 2026
Volume
$404
Txns
43
Traders
24
Fees
$3
Liquidity
$205
Ends
May 15, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 80% · $9.83M volume
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 62% · $12.4M volume
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 74% · $22.4M volume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 67% · $15.8M volume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
No 81% · $7.92M volume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 54% · $6.32M volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | AJSV | Yes / 32.0¢ | +11.76 | $3.76 | |
| 4h | .CEO. | No / 68.0¢ | +11.76 | $8.13 | |
| 11h | MiniTurtle | No / 36.0¢ | +9.61 | $3.46 | |
| 11h | scandl | No / 32.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.6 | |
| 11h | androidman | No / 32.0¢ | +30.00 | $9.6 | |
| 11h | balthazar | No / 32.0¢ | +0.07 | $0.02 | |
| 11h | 0x055693d7Dcbe91e31B00e3b1Fd3852CB94e44Fd8-1776968691537 | Yes / 67.9¢ | +44.19 | $30 | |
| 11h | MiniTurtle | No / 36.0¢ | +4.69 | $1.69 | |
| 11h | 0x055693d7Dcbe91e31B00e3b1Fd3852CB94e44Fd8-1776968691537 | Yes / 64.7¢ | +4.63 | $3 | |
| 11h | AJSV | No / 45.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.25 | |
| 11h | balthazar | No / 45.0¢ | +13.18 | $5.93 | |
| 11h | 0x055693d7Dcbe91e31B00e3b1Fd3852CB94e44Fd8-1776968691537 | Yes / 55.7¢ | +17.96 | $10 | |
| 11h | balthazar | No / 45.0¢ | +1.81 | $0.81 | |
| 11h | androidman | No / 45.0¢ | +30.00 | $13.5 | |
| 11h | Tugaxe | No / 43.0¢ | +10.00 | $4.3 | |
| 11h | 0x1E82E3Eb816aAf755AC9b44BC9d98F01b08AAF92-1772042958755 | No / 38.0¢ | +20.00 | $7.6 | |
| 11h | GingerMcKenna | No / 37.0¢ | +12.00 | $4.44 | |
| 11h | MiniTurtle | No / 36.0¢ | +10.69 | $3.85 | |
| 11h | 0x055693d7Dcbe91e31B00e3b1Fd3852CB94e44Fd8-1776968691537 | Yes / 59.9¢ | +83.48 | $50 | |
| 13h | AJSV | Yes / 12.0¢ | +1.14 | $0.14 | |
| 13h | 0x86D1D7713AbB3150D1da0fe2F3Ea7AD043670A6A-1777551944034 | No / 88.5¢ | +1.13 | $1 | |
| 16h | MrCr | Yes / 8.0¢ | +10.00 | $0.8 | |
| 16h | od827394 | No / 92.3¢ | +9.96 | $9.2 | |
| 1d | AJSV | No / 38.0¢ | +50.00 | $19 | |
| 1d | balthazar | No / 38.0¢ | +47.00 | $17.9 |
1–25