Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
ActiveVolume
$28
Txns
10
Traders
8
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$175
Ends
May 12, 2026
Volume
$28
Txns
10
Traders
8
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$175
Ends
May 12, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 5, 12:00 PM ET and May 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Yes 100% · $5.35M volume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 98% · $12.5M volume
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
No 98% · $2.19M volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 71% · $20.1M volume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 83% · $10M volume
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
No 90% · $8.38M volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | winexecutescale | No / 13.0¢ | +1.15 | $0.15 | |
| 1h | 0x28da5BEEF12c7c63571210297f79ED2B7223A414-1770898383340 | Yes / 87.5¢ | +1.14 | $1 | |
| 9h | Tugaxe | Yes / 31.0¢ | +1.45 | $0.45 | |
| 9h | 0xc9f9...3084e3 | No / 69.7¢ | +1.43 | $1 | |
| 11h | MirLegend | No / 13.0¢ | +5.75 | $0.75 | |
| 11h | Ezexio | Yes / 87.5¢ | +5.71 | $5 | |
| 17h | mdgc | No / 53.0¢ | +10.00 | $5.3 | |
| 17h | YourLostMojo | Yes / 47.6¢ | +9.88 | $4.7 | |
| 17h | Tugaxe | No / 54.0¢ | +10.00 | $5.4 | |
| 17h | YourLostMojo | Yes / 46.6¢ | +9.88 | $4.6 |