
Volume
$340K
Txns
2,946
Traders
538
Fees
$19
Ends
May 15, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count. If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 80%$0volume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin…
Yes 100%$0volume
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
No 56%$0volume
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | debased | No / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 2mo | beggarrr | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2.08 | |
| 2mo | norealtime | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | noid2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 2mo | vitaebella | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,999.98 | $2 | |
| 2mo | nikitaxce | Yes / 0.1¢ | +600.00 | $0.6 | |
| 2mo | debased | No / 99.9¢ | +4,099.98 | $4.1K | |
| 2mo | ma99 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -199.99 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | noid2 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -388.05 | $0.78 | |
| 2mo | nikitaxce | Yes / 0.2¢ | -600.00 | $1.2 | |
| 2mo | TraderProMax | Yes / 0.2¢ | -54.07 | $0.11 | |
| 2mo | MartinaCandombe | Yes / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | Biver52 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | norealtime | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1,000.00 | $2 | |
| 2mo | BSS37 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -199.99 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | 0xa60653a7d7D610c69cffD6f768262caA0C0c8273-1777383733913 | No / 99.8¢ | +9.19 | $9.17 | |
| 2mo | fm14 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -112.96 | $0.11 | |
| 2mo | vitaebella | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1,387.14 | $2.77 | |
| 2mo | akunai | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | 0xc4C3C42bA5460C8d1309AEd95e703f0420DB2E3f-1775819182898 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +4,964.23 | $9.38 | |
| 2mo | vitaebella | Yes / 0.2¢ | -612.84 | $1.23 | |
| 2mo | readyplayer6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | 0x7e8300f1030834003E4763f23dcfA18344332B47-1778677494081 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1.04 | |
| 2mo | HappyAlpha | Yes / 0.1¢ | -999.99 | $1 | |
| 2mo | beggarrr | Yes / 0.1¢ | +999.99 | $1.04 |
1–25