
Volume
$303K
Txns
1,746
Traders
310
Fees
$0
Ends
Sep 27, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris has a 60.1% or greater chance of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the Silver Bulletin election forecast on September 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College. This market will resolve according to the datapoint for September 27 when the datapoint first become available. If no datapoint for September 27 is available by September 30, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to September 27.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | qwertzu | No / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | NONETRUEFALSE | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | NONETRUEFALSE | No / 99.9¢ | +60.95 | $60.9 | |
| 1y | grieff | Yes / 0.1¢ | +150.00 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | NONETRUEFALSE | No / 99.9¢ | +89.05 | $89 | |
| 1y | NONETRUEFALSE | No / 99.9¢ | +22.52 | $22.5 | |
| 1y | Basileus | No / 99.9¢ | -22.52 | $22.5 | |
| 1y | Geromi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +55.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | UncleSmurf | No / 99.9¢ | +55.00 | $54.9 | |
| 1y | UncleSmurf | No / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 1y | Geromi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | Geromi | Yes / 0.4¢ | +54.97 | $0.22 | |
| 1y | UncleSmurf | No / 99.6¢ | +54.97 | $54.8 | |
| 1y | saksa | No / 99.6¢ | +0.03 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | Geromi | Yes / 0.4¢ | +0.03 | $0 | |
| 1y | okehynixyl | No / 99.6¢ | +3.39 | $3.38 | |
| 1y | Geromi | Yes / 0.4¢ | +3.39 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Geromi | Yes / 0.4¢ | +2.59 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | okehynixyl | No / 99.6¢ | +2.59 | $2.58 | |
| 1y | Ten-566 | No / 99.7¢ | +2,006.07 | $2K | |
| 1y | UncleSmurf | No / 99.7¢ | -1,951.07 | $1.95K | |
| 1y | Geromi | Yes / 0.4¢ | +55.00 | $0.22 | |
| 1y | UncleSmurf | No / 99.7¢ | -2.13 | $2.12 | |
| 1y | gerancesc | No / 99.7¢ | +2.13 | $2.12 | |
| 1y | UncleSmurf | No / 99.7¢ | -2.83 | $2.82 |
1–25
Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.4% on March 14?
No 100%$0volume
Who will win white women?
Trump 100%$0volume
Will Trump's approval rating be between 48.5% and 48.9% on March 14?
No 100%$0volume
Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.0% and 46.4% on March 21?
No 100%$0volume
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 46.0% on March 21?
No 100%$0volume
Will Kamala lead in RCP by 1.5-1.9 on Oct 18?
Yes 100%$0volume