
Volume
$55K
Txns
982
Traders
232
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 11, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris has a 55.1% or greater chance of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the Silver Bulletin election forecast on October 11, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College. This market will resolve according to the datapoint for October 11 when the datapoint first become available. If no datapoint for October 11 is available by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to October 11.
Trades
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 80%$0volume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin…
Yes 100%$0volume
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
No 55%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | studmuffin6969 | No / 99.0¢ | +1.00 | $0.99 | |
| 1y | Telo4ek | Yes / 1.0¢ | +1.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | DogEaterOhio | No / 95.0¢ | +0.20 | $0.19 | |
| 1y | fweferwg | Yes / 5.0¢ | +0.20 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | DogEaterOhio | No / 95.0¢ | +0.40 | $0.38 | |
| 1y | brodyaga13123124 | Yes / 5.0¢ | +0.40 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | DogEaterOhio | No / 90.0¢ | +0.10 | $0.09 | |
| 1y | ghwe4rherg | Yes / 10.0¢ | +0.10 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | DogEaterOhio | No / 90.0¢ | +90.30 | $81.3 | |
| 1y | faefv23r | Yes / 10.0¢ | +90.30 | $9.03 | |
| 1y | banditttus | Yes / 10.0¢ | +0.20 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | DogEaterOhio | No / 90.0¢ | +0.20 | $0.18 | |
| 1y | h4rth4ghtr | Yes / 10.0¢ | +0.10 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | DogEaterOhio | No / 90.0¢ | +0.10 | $0.09 | |
| 1y | DogEaterOhio | No / 90.0¢ | +0.10 | $0.09 | |
| 1y | h4rth4ghtr | Yes / 10.0¢ | +0.10 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | meowinglion | No / 99.8¢ | +2,508.42 | $2.5K | |
| 1y | Shayku | No / 99.8¢ | -2,508.42 | $2.5K | |
| 1y | stacy | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1,000.00 | $2.39 | |
| 1y | Shayku | No / 99.8¢ | -605.26 | $604 | |
| 1y | CarbonMonster | No / 99.7¢ | -394.74 | $394 | |
| 1y | CarbonMonster | No / 99.7¢ | -5.25 | $5.24 | |
| 1y | 0xabcd | No / 99.7¢ | +10.03 | $10 | |
| 1y | Geromi | No / 99.6¢ | -4.78 | $4.76 | |
| 1y | fgw34n4 | Yes / 10.0¢ | +0.30 | $0.03 |
1–25