
Volume
$642K
Txns
3,100
Traders
463
Fees
$0
Ends
Sep 20, 2024
This is a market will resolve to “Yes”, if Kamala Harris's favorable rating by FiveThirtyEight is higher than her unfavorable rating for any day between September 13 (inclusive) and September 20, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Harris's favorable rating must be higher than her unfavorable rating, ties will not qualify. The favorability ratings for each day must be finalized before they are considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/kamala-harris/, specifically the favorability rating indicated by the purple "favorable" trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the favorability rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after September 20, 2024 is published. If no such data point is available by September 27, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | carp | Yes / 99.9¢ | -36,439.42 | $36.4K | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 99.9¢ | +48,560.46 | $48.5K | |
| 1y | 🍝👹 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -12,121.04 | $12.1K | |
| 1y | VvVv | Yes / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 1y | 🍝👹 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -500.00 | $500 | |
| 1y | DancingonMarshmellos | Yes / 99.9¢ | -596.23 | $596 | |
| 1y | VvVv | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1y | 🍝👹 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -403.77 | $403 | |
| 1y | DancingonMarshmellos | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,990.00 | $1.99K | |
| 1y | Car | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 1y | Dyl123-102 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | No / 0.7¢ | +53.00 | $0.37 | |
| 1y | Car | Yes / 99.3¢ | +53.00 | $52.6 | |
| 1y | Car | Yes / 99.3¢ | +408.74 | $406 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.3¢ | -408.74 | $406 | |
| 1y | daroghi | No / 4.9¢ | -20.41 | $1 | |
| 1y | TheNoobBeaver | No / 4.9¢ | +20.41 | $1 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | No / 1.2¢ | +71.99 | $0.86 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 98.8¢ | -4,000.00 | $3.95K | |
| 1y | SaulG | No / 1.2¢ | -4,071.99 | $48.9 | |
| 1y | caesar-895 | Yes / 98.9¢ | +100.00 | $98.9 | |
| 1y | ssxeet | Yes / 98.9¢ | -100.00 | $98.9 | |
| 1y | DancingonMarshmellos | Yes / 99.0¢ | +675.44 | $669 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.0¢ | -675.44 | $669 | |
| 1y | Car | Yes / 99.4¢ | +2,000.00 | $1.99K |
1–25
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?
Kamala 100%$3.33Mvolume
Will Kamala lead by 2.5+ August 30?
No 100%$111Kvolume
Will Kamala say "dreamer" during Univision town hall on October 10?
Yes 100%$15Kvolume
Will either FL, MN, NH, or TX flip in 2024?
No 100%$792Kvolume
Will Kamala Harris say "KKK" during Oprah livestream?
No 100%$3.88Kvolume
Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%?
No 100%$603Kvolume