
Volume
$50K
Txns
1,189
Traders
54
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$540
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Justin Aguiar was recently arrested and charged with sexual assault by the Toronto Police Service after an investigation of an alleged sexual assault in 2024. You can read more about that here: https://www.tps.ca/media-centre/news-releases/64641/. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If this charge ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the first official judgment rendered regarding this charge. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18d | AJSV | No / 65.0¢ | +25.71 | $16.7 | |
| 18d | 0x578403f68549876E60B5F663635733E766123823-1772130035655 | Yes / 35.0¢ | +25.71 | $9.29 | |
| 19d | godfather888 | Yes / 10.9¢ | -45.88 | $5 | |
| 19d | 26lkkdasdsa | Yes / 11.0¢ | +9.08 | $1 | |
| 19d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 13.0¢ | +20.00 | $2.6 | |
| 19d | 0x99bc...784f35 | Yes / 7.0¢ | +7.72 | $0.54 | |
| 19d | 0x99bc...784f35 | Yes / 12.0¢ | +9.08 | $1.09 | |
| 1mo | Lumpshop | No / 72.7¢ | -15.62 | $11.4 | |
| 1mo | rocky42019 | Yes / 84.0¢ | -3.50 | $2.94 | |
| 1mo | PolyJaguar | Yes / 12.0¢ | -5.08 | $0.61 | |
| 1mo | PolyJaguar | Yes / 8.0¢ | -7.04 | $0.56 | |
| 2mo | GambleHelp | No / 92.0¢ | -82.87 | $76.2 | |
| 2mo | PolyJaguar | Yes / 8.0¢ | -82.87 | $6.63 | |
| 2mo | Lumpshop | No / 96.0¢ | +15.63 | $15 | |
| 2mo | Biver52 | Yes / 4.0¢ | +15.63 | $0.63 | |
| 2mo | BSS37 | Yes / 5.0¢ | +69.08 | $3.45 | |
| 2mo | xiaomo | Yes / 5.0¢ | -69.08 | $3.45 | |
| 2mo | CorkisGeldbeutel | Yes / 5.0¢ | -33.33 | $1.67 | |
| 2mo | BSS37 | Yes / 5.0¢ | +33.33 | $1.67 | |
| 2mo | PolyJaguar | Yes / 8.0¢ | -5.00 | $0.4 | |
| 2mo | animalfrank | No / 92.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.6 | |
| 3mo | Biver52 | Yes / 4.0¢ | +30.00 | $1.2 | |
| 3mo | KARACAC | Yes / 4.0¢ | -30.00 | $1.2 | |
| 3mo | animalfrank | No / 96.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.8 | |
| 3mo | Biver52 | Yes / 4.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.2 |
1–25
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?
No 100%$292Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
No 100%$323Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$233Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?
No 100%$204Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$5.37Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 90%$39.7Mvolume