
Volume
$18K
Txns
1,014
Traders
303
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jony Ive ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, including his role in leading creative and design efforts through his firm LoveFrom as part of the io acquisition, for any length of time between June 23,, and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI. An official announcement of Jony Ive’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ive indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 0y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 0y | humbleBaker | Yes / 0.1¢ | -378.47 | $0.38 | |
| 0y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 0y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +38.00 | $0.04 | |
| 0y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 0y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 0y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 0y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 0y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +11.00 | $0.01 | |
| 0y | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 0y | LBZero | Yes / 0.1¢ | +45.47 | $0.05 | |
| 0y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 0y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +189.00 | $0.19 | |
| 0y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 0y | LBZero | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.00 | $0 | |
| 0y | ylibaka | No / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 0y | LBZero | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.50 | $0 | |
| 0y | hctarodei | No / 99.9¢ | +1.50 | $1.5 | |
| 0y | italialo | No / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 0y | LBZero | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.00 | $0 | |
| 0y | romanika | No / 99.9¢ | +2.10 | $2.1 | |
| 0y | humbleBaker | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.10 | $0 | |
| 0y | humbleBaker | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.57 | $0 | |
| 0y | holmavoi | No / 99.9¢ | +1.57 | $1.57 |
1–25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 99%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December…
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December…
No 100%$0volume
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 77%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December…
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 78%$0volume