Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?
ResolvedVolume
$4M
Txns
5,439
Traders
1,113
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 31, 2025
Volume
$4M
Txns
5,439
Traders
1,113
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 31, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be the Chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve for any period of time between July 15, and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20.9Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.6Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11Mvolume
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 60%$1.8Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.65Mvolume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 77%$5.33Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | randombets09 | No / 99.9¢ | -40.69 | $40.6 | |
| 10mo | Sharky6999 | No / 99.9¢ | +40.69 | $40.6 | |
| 10mo | Sharky6999 | No / 99.9¢ | +5,604.99 | $5.6K | |
| 10mo | Bertapotamous | No / 99.9¢ | -6,604.77 | $6.6K | |
| 10mo | 87328bd0e93ubskxbo33 | No / 99.9¢ | +999.78 | $999 | |
| 10mo | 87328bd0e93ubskxbo33 | No / 99.9¢ | +0.22 | $0.22 | |
| 10mo | ratue | Yes / 0.1¢ | +0.22 | $0 | |
| 10mo | ratue | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 10mo | Br1Kupiila | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | ratue | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3.76 | $0 | |
| 10mo | ferpso915 | No / 99.9¢ | +3.76 | $3.76 | |
| 10mo | 0xb8b1...05a524 | No / 99.9¢ | +4.99 | $4.99 | |
| 10mo | Sharky6999 | No / 99.9¢ | -4.99 | $4.99 | |
| 10mo | elmcap2 | No / 99.8¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | Katherine429 | No / 99.8¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | QMG-CORE | No / 99.9¢ | +399.86 | $399 | |
| 10mo | Sharky6999 | No / 99.9¢ | -2,127.53 | $2.13K | |
| 10mo | kroko | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,727.67 | $1.73 | |
| 10mo | QMG-CORE | No / 99.9¢ | +9,600.14 | $9.59K | |
| 10mo | Sharky6999 | No / 99.9¢ | +4,699.86 | $4.7K | |
| 10mo | 0xb684cC8e2bB527045561d2002389efB446A1F64F-1750882795296 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14,300.00 | $14.3 | |
| 10mo | Sharky6999 | No / 99.9¢ | +13,000.00 | $13K | |
| 10mo | fdaghdfg19 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +13,000.00 | $13 | |
| 10mo | dfsagfsg18 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +12,220.00 | $12.2 | |
| 10mo | Sharky6999 | No / 99.9¢ | +12,220.00 | $12.2K |
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