
Volume
$541K
Txns
2,875
Traders
489
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on the West Bank's soil between November 27, 2025, 3:00 AM IST and the listed date 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the Israeli military that impact the West Bank's ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the West Bank counts. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the West Bank's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Israeli military will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements, multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | thecaricature | Yes / 0.4¢ | -273.33 | $1.09 | |
| 5mo | Shekel | Yes / 0.3¢ | -302.23 | $0.91 | |
| 5mo | xili1020 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +575.56 | $2 | |
| 5mo | bamesjond | No / 99.9¢ | +1,596.16 | $1.59K | |
| 5mo | Shekel | Yes / 0.1¢ | +930.50 | $0.93 | |
| 5mo | folioquant | No / 99.8¢ | -665.66 | $664 | |
| 5mo | folioquant | No / 99.8¢ | -9.72 | $9.7 | |
| 5mo | Elias.Thornwell | No / 99.8¢ | +9.72 | $9.7 | |
| 5mo | asfdt1 | No / 99.7¢ | -1.01 | $1.01 | |
| 5mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.7¢ | +1.01 | $1.01 | |
| 5mo | asfdt1 | No / 99.8¢ | +1.01 | $1.01 | |
| 5mo | folioquant | No / 99.8¢ | -1.01 | $1.01 | |
| 5mo | wizardsmagic | Yes / 0.3¢ | +334.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.7¢ | +334.00 | $333 | |
| 5mo | LithiumIon | No / 99.7¢ | -70.00 | $69.8 | |
| 5mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.7¢ | +70.00 | $69.8 | |
| 5mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.7¢ | +666.67 | $665 | |
| 5mo | JoeJoe2012 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +666.67 | $2 | |
| 5mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.7¢ | +1,333.33 | $1.33K | |
| 5mo | Nas84950 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +1,333.33 | $4 | |
| 5mo | Farahahaha | Yes / 0.3¢ | +333.33 | $1 | |
| 5mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.7¢ | +333.33 | $332 | |
| 5mo | TrendSender | Yes / 0.3¢ | +333.33 | $1 | |
| 5mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.7¢ | +333.33 | $332 | |
| 5mo | 0xed06...c2c8c1 | No / 99.8¢ | -790.63 | $789 |
1–25
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
No 94%$348Kvolume
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No 86%$152Kvolume
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
No 96%$111Kvolume
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Yes 54%$177Kvolume
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
No 96%$40.1Kvolume
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?
No 82%$84Kvolume