
Volume
$16M
Txns
28,177
Traders
3,910
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against any Iranian facility used for the development, enrichment, storage, or processing of nuclear material or technology, including reactors, enrichment facilities, uranium mines, and research centers located on Iranian soil, between October 1 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. Israeli missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market is official statements from the Israeli and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Trades
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 80%$0volume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin…
Yes 100%$0volume
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
No 56%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | airdropper | No / 0.1¢ | -5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5,000.00 | $5K | |
| 1y | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Yes / 99.8¢ | +5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 1y | MuleMaster | No / 0.2¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | kjihiuhi | No / 0.1¢ | -5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5,000.00 | $5K | |
| 1y | DenizKilic | No / 0.2¢ | +62,315.77 | $121 | |
| 1y | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Yes / 99.8¢ | +9,955.02 | $9.94K | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.8¢ | +28,229.21 | $28.2K | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,131.54 | $4.13K | |
| 1y | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Yes / 99.8¢ | +10,000.00 | $9.98K | |
| 1y | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Yes / 99.8¢ | +10,000.00 | $9.98K | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.9¢ | +300.00 | $300 | |
| 1y | Coldonn101 | No / 0.1¢ | +300.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | Thename-430 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.9¢ | +456.46 | $456 | |
| 1y | surf | Yes / 99.9¢ | +543.54 | $543 | |
| 1y | scoops | No / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | surf | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 1y | zzxx | No / 0.1¢ | +3,726.80 | $3.73 | |
| 1y | surf | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,726.80 | $3.72K | |
| 1y | alidf | No / 0.1¢ | +16,729.66 | $16.7 | |
| 1y | surf | Yes / 99.9¢ | +16,729.66 | $16.7K | |
| 1y | surf | Yes / 99.9¢ | +17,000.00 | $17K | |
| 1y | Coldonn101 | No / 0.1¢ | +17,000.00 | $17 |
1–25