
Volume
$259K
Txns
2,102
Traders
284
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 13, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military action on Iraqi soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iraqi embassies or consulates between June 11, and June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Israel on Iraqi soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iraqi soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 71%$32.7Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$6.35Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 57%$28.2Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$66.4Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
No 92%$1.09Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 76%$21.3Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0y | VvVv | No / 99.9¢ | +20.02 | $20 | |
| 0y | GaySanta | No / 99.9¢ | -20.02 | $20 | |
| 0y | VvVv | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 0y | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 0y | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +96.27 | $0.1 | |
| 0y | jilm | No / 99.8¢ | -50.00 | $49.9 | |
| 0y | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +25.00 | $0.03 | |
| 0y | SmurfDurf2 | No / 99.9¢ | +215.27 | $215 | |
| 0y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.00 | $0.03 | |
| 0y | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +12.00 | $0.01 | |
| 0y | GenaTheBondKilIer | Yes / 0.3¢ | +10.20 | $0.03 | |
| 0y | Zzzx6 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -22.59 | $0.07 | |
| 0y | smurfeta | No / 99.7¢ | -12.39 | $12.4 | |
| 0y | Debosnys | No / 99.0¢ | +151.17 | $150 | |
| 0y | ratue | Yes / 1.2¢ | -40.69 | $0.49 | |
| 0y | JimBarnard | Yes / 1.0¢ | +191.86 | $2 | |
| 0y | Debosnys | No / 99.0¢ | +84.06 | $83.2 | |
| 0y | MrRobot111 | No / 99.1¢ | +6.18 | $6.12 | |
| 0y | MrRobot111 | No / 99.1¢ | +5.00 | $4.96 | |
| 0y | JimBarnard | No / 99.0¢ | -154.07 | $153 | |
| 0y | MrRobot111 | No / 99.1¢ | +5.00 | $4.96 | |
| 0y | MrRobot111 | No / 99.1¢ | +5.00 | $4.96 | |
| 0y | Debosnys | No / 99.0¢ | +48.83 | $48.3 | |
| 0y | TheLongRun | No / 99.2¢ | -31.00 | $30.7 | |
| 0y | MrRobot111 | No / 99.1¢ | +2.22 | $2.2 |
1–25