
Volume
$39K
Txns
700
Traders
181
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 5, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a military action on Israeli soil, airspace, maritime territory or any official Israeli embassy or consulate between November 5, 12:00 AM ET and November 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Iran on Israeli soil, airspace, maritime territory or any official Israeli embassy or consulate (e.g. if a weapons depot on Israeli soil is hit by an Iranian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Iranian government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Trades
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$15.7Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 83%$28.6Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 100%$7.13Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 54%$26.9Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 93%$4.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 81%$20.7Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Zultarthegreat | Yes / 1.0¢ | +79.92 | $0.8 | |
| 1y | Rioefj3ns5 | Yes / 0.5¢ | -295.85 | $1.45 | |
| 1y | true895 | No / 99.7¢ | -215.93 | $215 | |
| 1y | 0xBcE171e9aA30e3f7d066F9Af3054B8075892C7ce-1729349569850 | No / 99.0¢ | +63.36 | $62.7 | |
| 1y | Zultarthegreat | Yes / 1.0¢ | +63.36 | $0.63 | |
| 1y | DumplingBMF | No / 98.1¢ | +10.52 | $10.3 | |
| 1y | MatjazL | No / 98.1¢ | -10.52 | $10.3 | |
| 1y | DumplingBMF | No / 98.1¢ | +20.00 | $19.6 | |
| 1y | AchimAufAnfahrt | No / 98.1¢ | -31.03 | $30.4 | |
| 1y | DumplingBMF | No / 98.1¢ | +11.03 | $10.8 | |
| 1y | Melatonin | Yes / 0.2¢ | +952.09 | $1.9 | |
| 1y | MDK-EDK | Yes / 0.2¢ | -952.09 | $1.9 | |
| 1y | Melatonin | Yes / 0.2¢ | +501.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | DumplingBMF | No / 99.8¢ | +501.00 | $500 | |
| 1y | ScienceDog | Yes / 0.3¢ | +492.78 | $1.48 | |
| 1y | longtern | No / 99.7¢ | +492.78 | $491 | |
| 1y | btcr7 | No / 99.6¢ | -10.00 | $9.96 | |
| 1y | ScienceDog | Yes / 0.3¢ | +502.20 | $1.51 | |
| 1y | btcr7 | No / 99.5¢ | -10.00 | $9.95 | |
| 1y | basic-281 | No / 99.7¢ | +522.20 | $521 | |
| 1y | DumplingBMF | No / 98.0¢ | +10.41 | $10.2 | |
| 1y | Kafar | No / 98.0¢ | -10.41 | $10.2 | |
| 1y | JoshuaHendrickson | No / 97.9¢ | +102.99 | $101 | |
| 1y | 0x5649272b46F80e1dea76578b8513D02E17a68B6E-1730816315077 | No / 97.9¢ | -102.99 | $101 | |
| 1y | Freimaurer | No / 99.7¢ | +5.02 | $5 |
1–25