
Volume
$3M
Txns
21,653
Traders
2,585
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the January 27, 2026 incident in which Rep. Ilhan Omar was sprayed with an unknown liquid at a Minneapolis town hall was staged, pre-arranged, orchestrated, fake, or otherwise not a genuine adversarial attack — including if broad consensus from credible reporting, or official statements (e.g., from law enforcement, U.S. government, or equivalent credible sources), confirms it was staged or pre-arranged. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements from the U.S. government, law enforcement agencies, or major credible news organizations concluding that the incident was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If no broad consensus from credible reporting and authoritative statements has been reached by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
Trades
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 80%$0volume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin…
Yes 75%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
No 76%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | bondibeach | No / 99.9¢ | +870.00 | $869 | |
| 4mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | -30.00 | $0.03 | |
| 4mo | okaysuper | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | 0xda34...4db1de | No / 99.6¢ | -24.80 | $24.7 | |
| 4mo | XO6QwecwEU | No / 99.6¢ | +9.59 | $9.55 | |
| 4mo | pocrqnul | No / 99.6¢ | +15.21 | $15.1 | |
| 4mo | 0x0bD91eaCEAa7cd2ceb9E60b57fB3Bad55701677b-1760809191035 | No / 99.8¢ | +5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 4mo | XO6QwecwEU | No / 99.6¢ | +22.21 | $22.1 | |
| 4mo | 0xC118B25CFeD0d1E961c09C738b13b8f521259410-1771335284035 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -24.79 | $0.05 | |
| 4mo | BLAH | No / 99.7¢ | -52.00 | $51.9 | |
| 5mo | itscamilo | No / 99.8¢ | -10.18 | $10.2 | |
| 5mo | 0xC118B25CFeD0d1E961c09C738b13b8f521259410-1771335284035 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -10.18 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | 0xC118B25CFeD0d1E961c09C738b13b8f521259410-1771335284035 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -500.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | 0x2616...bb8884 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | 0xa512219beD87Fa9920Fc11c4B4f5bB4E3E68b20d-1769687890292 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | 0xC118B25CFeD0d1E961c09C738b13b8f521259410-1771335284035 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -500.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | 0x35e3...fbfe95 | No / 99.6¢ | -21.13 | $21 | |
| 5mo | XO6QwecwEU | No / 99.6¢ | +21.13 | $21 | |
| 5mo | simplystupid188 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -224.09 | $0.67 | |
| 5mo | simplystupid188 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -137.70 | $0.41 | |
| 5mo | flyip | Yes / 0.3¢ | -2,971.21 | $8.91 | |
| 5mo | pantomime | No / 99.7¢ | -3,333.00 | $3.32K | |
| 5mo | konservator | No / 99.7¢ | -300.00 | $299 | |
| 5mo | flyip | Yes / 0.3¢ | -300.00 | $0.9 |
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