
Volume
$3M
Txns
21,636
Traders
2,585
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the January 27, 2026 incident in which Rep. Ilhan Omar was sprayed with an unknown liquid at a Minneapolis town hall was staged, pre-arranged, orchestrated, fake, or otherwise not a genuine adversarial attack — including if broad consensus from credible reporting, or official statements (e.g., from law enforcement, U.S. government, or equivalent credible sources), confirms it was staged or pre-arranged. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements from the U.S. government, law enforcement agencies, or major credible news organizations concluding that the incident was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If no broad consensus from credible reporting and authoritative statements has been reached by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | bondibeach | No / 99.9¢ | +870.00 | $869 | |
| 3mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | -30.00 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | okaysuper | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | 0xda34...4db1de | No / 99.6¢ | -24.80 | $24.7 | |
| 3mo | XO6QwecwEU | No / 99.6¢ | +9.59 | $9.55 | |
| 3mo | pocrqnul | No / 99.6¢ | +15.21 | $15.1 | |
| 3mo | 0x0bD91eaCEAa7cd2ceb9E60b57fB3Bad55701677b-1760809191035 | No / 99.8¢ | +5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 3mo | XO6QwecwEU | No / 99.6¢ | +22.21 | $22.1 | |
| 3mo | 0xC118B25CFeD0d1E961c09C738b13b8f521259410-1771335284035 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -24.79 | $0.05 | |
| 3mo | BLAH | No / 99.7¢ | -52.00 | $51.9 | |
| 3mo | itscamilo | No / 99.8¢ | -10.18 | $10.2 | |
| 3mo | 0xC118B25CFeD0d1E961c09C738b13b8f521259410-1771335284035 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -10.18 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | 0xC118B25CFeD0d1E961c09C738b13b8f521259410-1771335284035 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -500.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | 0x2616...bb8884 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | 0xa512219beD87Fa9920Fc11c4B4f5bB4E3E68b20d-1769687890292 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | 0xC118B25CFeD0d1E961c09C738b13b8f521259410-1771335284035 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -500.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | 0x35e3...fbfe95 | No / 99.6¢ | -21.13 | $21 | |
| 3mo | XO6QwecwEU | No / 99.6¢ | +21.13 | $21 | |
| 3mo | simplystupid188 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -224.09 | $0.67 | |
| 3mo | simplystupid188 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -137.70 | $0.41 | |
| 3mo | flyip | Yes / 0.3¢ | -2,971.21 | $8.91 | |
| 3mo | pantomime | No / 99.7¢ | -3,333.00 | $3.32K | |
| 3mo | konservator | No / 99.7¢ | -300.00 | $299 | |
| 3mo | flyip | Yes / 0.3¢ | -300.00 | $0.9 |
1–25
Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with vinegar?
Yes 100%$88.9Kvolume
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31?
No 100%$16.1Kvolume
Ilhan Omar expelled from Congress before March?
No 100%$5.48Kvolume
Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with pure water?
No 100%$293Kvolume
Nothing Ever Happens: Ilhan Omar
Nothing 100%$19.3Kvolume
Fact Check: Did Ilhan Omar marry her brother?
No 100%$103Kvolume