
Volume
$78K
Txns
1,564
Traders
312
Fees
$0
Ends
—
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public. Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1 similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 92%$3.09Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 91%$1.78Mvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No 90%$84.4Kvolume
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 100%$661Kvolume
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 94%$928Kvolume
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$2.82Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | ProfessionalPunter | No / 99.9¢ | +133.17 | $133 | |
| 5mo | lmtfalone | No / 99.9¢ | -133.17 | $133 | |
| 5mo | 0x006d9929Db8e405eBd5eDE4C311529F7524b46fF-1767860344940 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | ProfessionalPunter | No / 99.9¢ | +851.97 | $851 | |
| 5mo | ScottVan | Yes / 0.1¢ | -148.03 | $0.15 | |
| 5mo | ScottVan | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.98 | $0 | |
| 5mo | xainin | No / 99.9¢ | -1.98 | $1.98 | |
| 5mo | ScottVan | Yes / 0.1¢ | -14.04 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | chansli11 | No / 99.9¢ | -17.04 | $17 | |
| 5mo | westgardeng | No / 99.9¢ | +3.00 | $3 | |
| 5mo | 0x6045...342d75 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | westgardeng | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | 0x2096...c70a05 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | westgardeng | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +466.98 | $0.47 | |
| 5mo | lhfdighv66oj | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | From300To10K | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 5mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | PredictionYogi | No / 99.9¢ | +1,721.98 | $1.72K | |
| 5mo | 10KPnl | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +394.00 | $0.39 | |
| 5mo | daroghi | No / 99.8¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 5mo | 0x94fEbDCdA744B86d562a1EEF646E5b0b74D4eFf9-1767264077452 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -400.00 | $0.41 | |
| 5mo | daroghi | No / 99.2¢ | +6.00 | $5.95 | |
| 5mo | task-aws | No / 99.2¢ | -6.00 | $5.95 |
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