Volume
$80K
Txns
1,522
Traders
296
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 15, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any version of Grok-4 with a score greater than 40.00% by August 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Trades
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 87%$0volume
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?
Yes 54%$0volume
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?
No 60%$0volume
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on l…
Yes 54%$0volume
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
No 92%$0volume
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on July 31?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | ACara | Yes / 0.4¢ | +7.50 | $0.03 | |
| 11mo | ACara | Yes / 0.2¢ | +15.01 | $0.03 | |
| 11mo | Ardtysrt01 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +9.75 | $0.02 | |
| 11mo | Lkens | No / 99.9¢ | -10.01 | $10 | |
| 11mo | MrRobot111 | No / 99.8¢ | +60.03 | $59.9 | |
| 11mo | Ardtysrt01 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5.26 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | Ardtysrt01 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +7.50 | $0.03 | |
| 11mo | ratue | Yes / 0.3¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | Wojtek | Yes / 5.0¢ | -81.63 | $4.08 | |
| 11mo | ThePureGenius | Yes / 1.7¢ | +1,157.88 | $20 | |
| 11mo | Wojtek | Yes / 2.0¢ | -100.00 | $2 | |
| 11mo | ratue | Yes / 0.8¢ | -5.00 | $0.04 | |
| 11mo | Wojtek | Yes / 1.0¢ | -500.00 | $5 | |
| 11mo | Wojtek | Yes / 3.0¢ | -100.00 | $3 | |
| 11mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.7¢ | -251.00 | $1.76 | |
| 11mo | Wojtek | Yes / 4.0¢ | -100.00 | $4 | |
| 11mo | Ardtysrt01 | Yes / 0.6¢ | -20.25 | $0.12 | |
| 11mo | Ardtysrt01 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +7.50 | $0.03 | |
| 11mo | ratue | Yes / 0.3¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | Ardtysrt01 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5.26 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | Hamzawins | No / 99.7¢ | +17.76 | $17.7 | |
| 11mo | ratue | Yes / 0.3¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | Ardtysrt01 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +7.50 | $0.03 | |
| 11mo | BeneGesseritVoice | No / 99.6¢ | +12.50 | $12.5 | |
| 11mo | Wojtek | Yes / 1.0¢ | -349.46 | $3.49 |
1–25