
Volume
$282K
Txns
1,684
Traders
268
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.3 model is made available to the general public by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-5.3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-5.3 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.3 (e.g., ChatGPT-5.3o, would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5.2, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. Products labeled as GPT-6 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$189Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.2Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$117Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
No 100%$74.9Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 89%$1.85Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$120Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 4mo | 0x58db76Ba178bf1A07964E728e11E85B4309F570e-1770315004248 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | 0x86bb...0e7cfa | Yes / 99.9¢ | -19.81 | $19.8 | |
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +19.81 | $19.8 | |
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2.36 | $2.36 | |
| 4mo | 0x46cb...59cdb8 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2.36 | $2.36 | |
| 4mo | westgardeng | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.25 | $5.24 | |
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.25 | $5.24 | |
| 4mo | S888 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | Yasoos | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 4mo | puser0x | No / 0.3¢ | -640.15 | $1.92 | |
| 4mo | Ordon | Yes / 99.7¢ | +359.85 | $359 | |
| 4mo | 0x770124A48caf984E82Fb0DfcD9545D66BEd134de-1769131236571 | No / 0.3¢ | +1,000.00 | $3 | |
| 4mo | 9... | No / 0.2¢ | -110.25 | $0.22 | |
| 4mo | puser0x | No / 0.3¢ | -259.83 | $0.78 | |
| 4mo | asdws | No / 0.3¢ | +370.08 | $1 | |
| 4mo | puser0x | No / 0.2¢ | +790.83 | $1.58 | |
| 4mo | zb8 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +790.83 | $789 | |
| 4mo | vinii | Yes / 99.8¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | puser0x | No / 0.2¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 4mo | Warren-Buffett | Yes / 99.8¢ | +200.40 | $200 | |
| 4mo | puser0x | No / 0.2¢ | +200.40 | $0.4 | |
| 4mo | 0xA2cA0eFef5E2D6753E7370C967f088203FFfb4f6-1770253873950 | No / 0.5¢ | +200.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | zb8 | Yes / 99.5¢ | +200.00 | $199 |
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