
Volume
$15K
Txns
140
Traders
48
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if GPT-5 achieves a score of 70% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.45Mvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Yes 50%$203Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
No 93%$113Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 90%$2.03Mvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Yes 63%$71Kvolume
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 96%$905Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.1¢ | -14.48 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 0x906c...33899a | No / 99.9¢ | -14.48 | $14.5 | |
| 6mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.51 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.48 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | From300To10K | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 6mo | wks118 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 6mo | gogogo1234556 | No / 99.9¢ | +269.99 | $270 | |
| 6mo | 0x906c...33899a | No / 99.9¢ | +14.48 | $14.5 | |
| 6mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.48 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +78.00 | $0.08 | |
| 6mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +41.00 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +753.00 | $0.75 | |
| 6mo | 0xf03a...ee7a9a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +83.00 | $0.08 | |
| 6mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +116.00 | $0.12 | |
| 6mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +144.00 | $0.14 | |
| 6mo | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | +5,870.00 | $5.86K | |
| 6mo | 0xf03a...ee7a9a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +21.00 | $0.02 | |
| 6mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +91.00 | $0.09 | |
| 6mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | daystay | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 6mo | Evador | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +91.00 | $0.09 | |
| 6mo | planktonXD | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,660.00 | $3.66 | |
| 6mo | tailevent | Yes / 0.1¢ | +600.00 | $0.6 |
1–25