
Volume
$746K
Txns
7,288
Traders
681
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes” if the Republican Party wins the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by between 1.75% (inclusive) and 2.0% (exclusive) of the popular vote when compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Republican Party and the second-place party. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once all States and D.C. have certified their votes.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | DNF666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | PM666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | AiAi | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | PM666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | mincolb | Yes / 0.2¢ | -490.49 | $0.98 | |
| 1y | yuebo3 | No / 99.8¢ | -490.49 | $490 | |
| 1y | DECEMBER-101 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +193.89 | $0.19 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | yuebo3 | No / 99.9¢ | +490.49 | $490 | |
| 1y | jocker0002 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +286.60 | $0.29 | |
| 1y | BurtonWallis | No / 99.9¢ | +20.02 | $20 | |
| 1y | DECEMBER-101 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.02 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | Dene | Yes / 0.2¢ | +400.00 | $0.8 | |
| 1y | mincolb | Yes / 0.2¢ | -400.00 | $0.8 | |
| 1y | mincolb | Yes / 0.2¢ | -92.00 | $0.18 | |
| 1y | ThomasSmithTtXZT | No / 99.8¢ | -92.00 | $91.8 | |
| 1y | ThomasSmithTtXZT | No / 99.9¢ | +92.00 | $91.9 | |
| 1y | DECEMBER-101 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +92.00 | $0.09 | |
| 1y | 944odm9z | Yes / 0.1¢ | -250.00 | $0.25 | |
| 1y | DECEMBER-101 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +250.00 | $0.25 | |
| 1y | mincolb | Yes / 0.2¢ | -250.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1y | 944odm9z | Yes / 0.2¢ | +250.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1y | yf5bgfqp | Yes / 0.1¢ | -500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1y | DECEMBER-101 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1y | yf5bgfqp | Yes / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 |
1–25
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 98%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
No 75%$0volume
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elect…
Yes 84%$0volume
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 58%$0volume