
Volume
$553
Txns
69
Traders
26
Fees
$2
Ends
Apr 29, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alphabet, in its official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, reports that the Gemini App’s Monthly Active Users reached or exceeded the listed amount at any point. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. Only reports of the specified metric which explicitly indicate that the Gemini app’s monthly active users reached or exceeded the listed amount will qualify. For example, reports that the Gemini app’s monthly active users were “around” 800 million would not be sufficient to resolve a market for above 800 million monthly active users to “Yes”. The resolution source for this market is Alphabet's official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, regulatory filings, and recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | 0xe7952335816D6236573E0Fe0b174de7d41796879-1771524443260 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +30.11 | $0.3 | |
| 1mo | Michael5289 | No / 99.0¢ | +30.10 | $29.8 | |
| 1mo | Michael5289 | No / 99.0¢ | +19.07 | $18.9 | |
| 1mo | rocketcrypto | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | 0xe7952335816D6236573E0Fe0b174de7d41796879-1771524443260 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +9.08 | $0.09 | |
| 1mo | 0xba2c...0f54d0 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | 0xe7952335816D6236573E0Fe0b174de7d41796879-1771524443260 | Yes / 2.0¢ | +4.60 | $0.09 | |
| 1mo | Michael5289 | No / 98.1¢ | +4.60 | $4.51 | |
| 1mo | 0xe7952335816D6236573E0Fe0b174de7d41796879-1771524443260 | Yes / 2.0¢ | +3.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1mo | fakequant | No / 98.1¢ | +3.00 | $2.94 | |
| 1mo | Michael5289 | No / 98.1¢ | +7.80 | $7.65 | |
| 1mo | 0xe7952335816D6236573E0Fe0b174de7d41796879-1771524443260 | Yes / 2.0¢ | +7.81 | $0.16 | |
| 1mo | vulinho | No / 74.0¢ | +1.34 | $1 | |
| 1mo | 0xe3ae...3d217a | Yes / 26.0¢ | +1.35 | $0.35 | |
| 1mo | ImSweating | No / 67.0¢ | -8.76 | $5.87 | |
| 1mo | ManBOOOO | No / 67.0¢ | +8.64 | $5.87 | |
| 1mo | buur | No / 66.0¢ | -5.26 | $3.47 | |
| 1mo | ImSweating | No / 67.0¢ | -11.24 | $7.53 | |
| 1mo | h2l | No / 66.7¢ | +16.28 | $11 | |
| 1mo | 0x5f8A488Ca086be252A5FacFE22126e9888A25bb3-1776361168856 | Yes / 34.0¢ | -14.74 | $4.88 | |
| 1mo | buur | No / 66.0¢ | -14.74 | $9.73 | |
| 1mo | 0xe950C1120BcB0802583a316f9f8bd91f6aa21659-1767575150131 | Yes / 77.0¢ | +12.87 | $10 | |
| 1mo | buur | Yes / 77.0¢ | -12.99 | $10 | |
| 1mo | buur | Yes / 77.0¢ | -1.33 | $1.02 | |
| 1mo | 0x45C8F9C9bd9C719d7Fb32E4EFE73BcDf1A00b622-1777010695831 | No / 23.0¢ | -1.33 | $0.3 |
1–25
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$184Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$108Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$114Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.15Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
No 100%$74.8Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 85%$1.82Mvolume