
Volume
$3M
Txns
48,079
Traders
4,347
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for 2024 shows an increase between 1.22°C (inclusive) and 1.24°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly within the stated range for 2024 will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2024 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | VvVv | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | MemeTheWeak | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | oplsndndnnfnf | No / 99.8¢ | -10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -10.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1.10 | $0 | |
| 1y | Joijk551 | No / 99.8¢ | -1.10 | $1.1 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | Yes / 0.3¢ | -7.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | Good520 | No / 99.7¢ | -7.00 | $6.98 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.8¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | Yes / 0.2¢ | +20.00 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | Yes / 0.2¢ | +20.00 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.8¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | blanchardjulie | Yes / 0.1¢ | +921.71 | $1.06 | |
| 1y | wokerjoesleeper | No / 99.7¢ | +29.15 | $29.1 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -852.57 | $0.85 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | Yes / 0.3¢ | -39.99 | $0.12 | |
| 1y | matthewwright | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,030.00 | $1.03 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,030.00 | $1.03 | |
| 1y | Siziriv | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -767.25 | $0.77 | |
| 1y | Siziriv | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -22.75 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | hugheslisa | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,080.00 | $1.08 | |
| 1y | Siziriv | Yes / 0.1¢ | -60.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | Siziriv | Yes / 0.1¢ | -30.00 | $0.03 |
1–25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 99%$0volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 94%$0volume
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 89%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 90%$0volume
New pandemic in 2026?
No 93%$0volume
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No 61%$0volume