
Volume
$654K
Txns
8,015
Traders
1,057
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.5 model is made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.5 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.5 (e.g., Gemini 3.5 Pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3, similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 2.5. Products labeled as Gemini 4 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. Additional Gemini 3 models (e.g. a release of Gemini 3 Flash-lite) will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 98%$4.6Mvolume
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Yes 100%$502Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 100%$3.01Mvolume
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
No 100%$431Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?
Yes 93%$165Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
No 96%$190Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | vhftyh | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | yangguang0511 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.00 | $0 | |
| 2mo | yangguang0511 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.00 | $0 | |
| 2mo | hjyggj | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | 4e2fbc2acf | No / 99.9¢ | +1,090.00 | $1.09K | |
| 2mo | 0x24Bb267D0Eed85CDe28714bC7DcBf5e0a977C9f5-1773073480607 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | ouiouidescs | Yes / 0.1¢ | +250.00 | $0.25 | |
| 2mo | jjzzh | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | labistiiia | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 2mo | laowen888 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | Hinshaw | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | rikitikitaki | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | 0xMIX | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | yangguang0511 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 0.3¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | kisadrakon | Yes / 0.2¢ | -211.82 | $0.32 | |
| 2mo | scottvan3 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | yangguang0511 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +106.82 | $0.11 | |
| 2mo | scottvan3 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +98.99 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | 4e2fbc2acf | No / 99.8¢ | +98.99 | $98.8 | |
| 2mo | scottvan3 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 2mo | bbtalk | No / 99.8¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | 4e2fbc2acf | No / 99.8¢ | +105.00 | $105 |
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