
Volume
$1,558
Txns
238
Traders
64
Fees
$3
Liquidity
$2,896
Ends
May 8, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market). Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?
Yes 100% · $623K volume
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100% · $880K volume
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100% · $1.03M volume
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100% · $1.04M volume
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
No 82% · $203K volume
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 100% · $170K volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | PPMT | No / 97.6¢ | +30.00 | $29.3 | |
| 2h | cool.keith | Yes / 2.5¢ | -15.00 | $0.38 | |
| 2h | MrKelly | Yes / 2.4¢ | +44.96 | $1.09 | |
| 4h | 0x22B81124Dc1534681ac5b8916C363Fb681638b13-1772202187404 | Yes / 1.2¢ | +1.21 | $0.01 | |
| 4h | Dertion | No / 98.8¢ | +1.21 | $1.2 | |
| 4h | MrKelly | Yes / 3.6¢ | +9.94 | $0.36 | |
| 4h | MrKelly | Yes / 3.5¢ | +5.17 | $0.18 | |
| 4h | 1in1000 | No / 96.6¢ | -30.88 | $29.8 | |
| 4h | cool.keith | Yes / 1.2¢ | +51.22 | $0.61 | |
| 4h | TomoX | Yes / 1.1¢ | +5.05 | $0.06 | |
| 4h | urakan | No / 97.9¢ | +102.17 | $100 | |
| 5h | MrKelly | Yes / 3.8¢ | +9.37 | $0.36 | |
| 5h | Barbs94 | No / 96.3¢ | +9.36 | $9.01 | |
| 6h | cool.keith | Yes / 3.8¢ | -16.61 | $0.63 | |
| 6h | Legacy.crypto | No / 96.1¢ | +9.46 | $9.09 | |
| 6h | Tradejarod | Yes / 3.8¢ | +26.03 | $1 | |
| 7h | MrKelly | Yes / 3.8¢ | +7.80 | $0.3 | |
| 7h | cool.keith | Yes / 3.7¢ | -7.80 | $0.28 | |
| 8h | MrKelly | Yes / 3.8¢ | +4.16 | $0.16 | |
| 8h | Mmiikka | No / 96.3¢ | +4.15 | $4 | |
| 9h | MrKelly | Yes / 3.9¢ | +7.25 | $0.28 | |
| 9h | MrKelly | Yes / 3.9¢ | +9.09 | $0.35 | |
| 9h | MrKelly | Yes / 3.7¢ | +9.54 | $0.35 | |
| 9h | 1in1000 | No / 96.3¢ | +25.84 | $24.9 | |
| 9h | MrKelly | Yes / 3.9¢ | +5.00 | $0.2 |
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